Bundesliga
Jan 31, 2026 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT WWK Arena
  • Michael Gregoritsch 41' goal
  • Yannik Keitel 46' yellowcard
  • Michael Gregoritsch 59' goal
  • Anton Kade 60' yellowcard
  • Mads Pedersen 77' yellowcard
  • Cédric Zesiger 77' yellowcard
  • Samuel Essende 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danel Sinani 32'
  • yellowcard Martijn Kaars 63'
  • yellowcard Mathias Pereira Lage 63'
  • yellowcard Jackson Irvine 70'
  • yellowcard Abdoulie Ceesay 84'

Augsburg vs St Pauli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 2.30pm
Bayern 1 - 2 Augsburg
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Alexis Claude-Maurice

St Pauli

All competitions
Last game
Jan 27, 2026 7.30pm
St Pauli 1 - 1 RB Leipzig
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Martijn Kaars

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Augsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 0-1 (8.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result

Augsburg 45.86% (-0.14)
Draw 26.89% (-0.25)
St Pauli 27.25% (+0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.94% (+0.75)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.98% (+0.75)
Under 1.5 31.02% (-0.75)
Over 2.5 43.43% (+0.79)
Under 2.5 56.57% (-0.79)
Over 3.5 22.16% (+0.56)
Under 3.5 77.84% (-0.55)
Over 4.5 11.8% (+0.32)
Under 4.5 88.2% (-0.32)

First Half Winner

Augsburg 33.66% (+0.08)
Draw 42.35% (-0.20)
St Pauli 23.99% (+0.11)

Team To Score First

Augsburg 50.93% (+0.48)
No Goal 9.26% (-0.39)
St Pauli 39.81% (-0.10)

Corners

Over 8 61.73% (-0.31)
Equal 8 10.79% (-0.02)
Under 8 27.48% (+0.31)
Over 9 50.42% (-0.25)
Equal 9 11.32% (-0.03)
Under 9 38.26% (+0.29)
Over 10.5 39.5% (-0.22)
Under 10.5 60.5% (+0.22)

Augsburg Goals

Over 1.5 39.72% (+0.37)
Under 1.5 60.28% (-0.37)
Over 2.5 15.93% (+0.26)
Under 2.5 84.07% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 5.14% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 94.86% (-0.13)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 60.03% (+0.75)
Under 0.5 39.97% (-0.75)
Over 1.5 25.82% (+0.59)
Under 1.5 74.18% (-0.58)
Over 2.5 8.08% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 91.92% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 2.05% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 97.95% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Augsburg 45.85%
Draw 26.9%
St Pauli 27.26%
Augsburg
1-0 @ 12.93% (-0.35)
2-1 @ 9.07% (+0.11)
2-0 @ 8.61% (-0.16)
3-0 @ 4.05% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.79% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.27% (+0.05)
Other @ 5.13% (+0.13)
Total : 45.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.51% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.26% (-0.39)
2-2 @ 4.44% (+0.11)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.9%
St Pauli
0-1 @ 8.84% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 6.61% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 4.42% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 2.14% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.67% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.54% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.04% (+0.07)
Total : 27.26%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Sep 14, 2025 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Feb 1, 2025 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion
  • Noahkai Kai Daniel Banks 17' goal
  • Johannes Eggestein 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dimitris Giannoulis 60'
  • yellowcard Noahkai Kai Daniel Banks 70'
  • goal Mert Komur 83'
  • yellowcard Robert Gumny 90'+1'
Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Sep 15, 2024 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT WWK Arena
  • Samuel Essende 39' yellowcard
  • Marius Wolf 47' goal
  • Elvis Rexhbecaj 58' yellowcard
  • Dimitris Giannoulis 62' yellowcard
  • Phillip Tietz 66' goal
  • Phillip Tietz 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Yusuf Kabadayi 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Morgan Guilavogui 5'
  • yellowcard Lars Ritzka 22'
  • goal Carlo Boukhalfa 75'
  • yellowcard Alexander Blessin 90'
  • yellowcard Karol Mets 90'+4'