Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Augsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 0-1 (8.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.