Bundesliga Gameweek 19
Jan 23, 2026 7.30pm
Millerntor-Stadion

St Pauli vs Hamburger SV - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 2.30pm
Dortmund 0 - 0 St Pauli
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Martijn Kaars

Hamburger SV

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 2.30pm
Hamburger SV 0 - 0 Borussia M'bach
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Albert Sambi Lokonga

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a St Pauli win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Hamburger SV has a probability of 32.02% and a draw has a probability of 25.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Hamburger SV win is 0-1 (7.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.53%).

Result

St Pauli 42.68% (-0.08)
Draw 25.27% (-0.18)
Hamburger SV 32.02% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.43% (+0.58)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.59% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 23.41% (-0.36)
Over 2.5 53.6% (+0.61)
Under 2.5 46.4% (-0.61)
Over 3.5 31.71% (+0.63)
Under 3.5 68.29% (-0.62)
Over 4.5 17.72% (+0.47)
Under 4.5 82.28% (-0.47)

First Half Winner

St Pauli 30.9% (-0.07)
Draw 40.7% (+0.13)
Hamburger SV 28.41% (-0.06)

Team To Score First

St Pauli 48.2% (+0.11)
No Goal 6.34% (-0.17)
Hamburger SV 45.46% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 58.62% (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.37% (+0.01)
Under 8 30.01% (-0.02)
Over 9 46.96% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.66% (+0.01)
Under 9 41.38% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 35.98%
Under 10.5 64.02%

St Pauli Goals

Over 1.5 43.27% (+0.28)
Under 1.5 56.73% (-0.28)
Over 2.5 19.27% (+0.31)
Under 2.5 80.73% (-0.32)
Over 3.5 6.85% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 93.15% (-0.18)

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5 67.76% (+0.28)
Under 0.5 32.24% (-0.27)
Over 1.5 34.59% (+0.43)
Under 1.5 65.41% (-0.43)
Over 2.5 13.42% (+0.26)
Under 2.5 86.58% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 4.39% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 95.61% (-0.11)

Score analysis

St Pauli 42.68%
Draw 25.27%
Hamburger SV 32.03%
St Pauli
1-0 @ 9.1% (-0.19)
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.74% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 4.7% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.36% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.11% (+0.09)
Other @ 6.68% (+0.18)
Total : 42.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.53% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 6.34% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 5.98% (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.25% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.27%
Hamburger SV
0-1 @ 7.95% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 7.37% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.71% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.32% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.29% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.17%
Other @ 4.22% (+0.11)
Total : 32.03%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Aug 29, 2025 7.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 32
May 3, 2024 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Volksparkstadion
  • Miro Muheim 39' yellowcard
  • Lukasz Poreba 62' goal
  • Jonas Meffert 66' yellowcard
  • Steffen Baumgart 69' yellowcard
  • Robert Glatzel 85' goal
  • yellowcard Connor Metcalfe 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Manolis Saliakas 79'
  • redcard Manolis Saliakas 90'+7'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 15
Dec 1, 2023 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion
  • Jackson Irvine 15' goal
  • Daniel Heuer Fernandes 27' goal
  • Hauke Wahl 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Guilherme Ramos 29'
  • yellowcard Jonas Meffert 44'
  • goal Robert Glatzel 58'
  • goal Manuel Pherai 60'
  • yellowcard William Mikelbrencis 90'+6'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 29
Apr 21, 2023 5.30pm
4
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jonas David 44' goal
  • Bakery Jatta 48' goal
  • Moritz Heyer 52' goal
  • Jakov Medic 78' goal
  • goal Manolis Saliakas 36'
  • goal Elias Saad 71'
  • goal Jackson Irvine 79'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 12
Oct 14, 2022 5.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Eric Smith 61' goal
  • Marcel Hartel 74' goal
  • David Otto 89' goal
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Jan 21, 2022 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Sebastian Schonlau 58' goal
  • Tim Walter 63' yellowcard
  • Sonny Kittel 66' yellowcard
  • Bakery Jatta 70' goal
  • Ludovit Reis 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Etienne Amenyido 26'
  • goal Guido Burgstaller 30'
  • yellowcard Jackson Irvine 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Marcel Hartel 65'
  • yellowcard Rico Benatelli 90'+4'