Bundesliga Gameweek 19
St Pauli
Jan 23, 2026 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion
Hamburger SV
  • Ricky Jade-Jones 46' yellowcard
  • Ricky-Jade Jones 46' yellowcard
  • Jackson Irvine 65' yellowcard
  • Danel Sinani 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabio Amadu Uri Balde 14'
  • yellowcard Fabio Baldé 14'
  • yellowcard Jean-Luc Dompe 68'
  • yellowcard Robert Glatzel 68'
  • yellowcard Rayan Philippe 68'
  • yellowcard Jean-Luc Dompé 68'
  • yellowcard Albert Sambi Lokonga 87'
  • yellowcard Albert Sambi Lokonga 88'

St Pauli vs Hamburger SV - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 2.30pm
Dortmund 3 - 2 St Pauli
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Martijn Kaars

Hamburger SV

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 2.30pm
Hamburger SV 0 - 0 Borussia M'bach
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Ransford Königsdörffer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Hamburger SV had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Hamburger SV win was 0-1 (7.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result

St Pauli 42.17% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 25.33% ▲ (+0.03)
Hamburger SV 32.53% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.31% ▼ (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.16%
Under 1.5 22.84%
Over 2.5 54.1% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 45.9% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 31.63% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 68.37% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 4.5 17.56%
Under 4.5 82.44%

First Half Winner

St Pauli 32.37% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 40.45% ▲ (+0.03)
Hamburger SV 27.18% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

St Pauli 47.93% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 6.24% ▲ (+0.03)
Hamburger SV 45.83% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 59.08%
Equal 8 11.01%
Under 8 29.91%
Over 9 47.75%
Equal 9 11.33%
Under 9 40.92%
Over 10.5 37.01%
Under 10.5 62.99%

St Pauli Goals

Over 1.5 43.31% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 56.69% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 18.97% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 81.03% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 6.82% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.18% ▲ (+0.02)

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5 68.16% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 31.84% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 35.23% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 64.77% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 13.7% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 86.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.68% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

St Pauli 42.18%
Draw 25.33%
Hamburger SV 32.53%
St Pauli
2-1 @ 9.08% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.86% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.72% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 6.65% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 42.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.51% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.24% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.13% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.33%
Hamburger SV
0-1 @ 7.78% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 7.67%
0-2 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 32.53%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
Aug 29, 2025 7.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
St Pauli
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 32
Hamburger SV
May 3, 2024 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Volksparkstadion
St Pauli
  • Miro Muheim 39' yellowcard
  • Lukasz Poreba 62' goal
  • Jonas Meffert 66' yellowcard
  • Steffen Baumgart 69' yellowcard
  • Robert Glatzel 85' goal
  • yellowcard Connor Metcalfe 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Manolis Saliakas 79'
  • redcard Manolis Saliakas 90'+7'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 15
St Pauli
Dec 1, 2023 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion
Hamburger SV
  • Jackson Irvine 15' goal
  • Daniel Heuer Fernandes 27' goal
  • Hauke Wahl 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Guilherme Ramos 29'
  • yellowcard Jonas Meffert 44'
  • goal Robert Glatzel 58'
  • goal Manuel Pherai 60'
  • yellowcard William Mikelbrencis 90'+6'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 29
Hamburger SV
Apr 21, 2023 5.30pm
4
3
HT : 1 1
FT
St Pauli
  • Jonas David 44' goal
  • Bakery Jatta 48' goal
  • Moritz Heyer 52' goal
  • Jakov Medic 78' goal
  • goal Manolis Saliakas 36'
  • goal Elias Saad 71'
  • goal Jackson Irvine 79'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 12
St Pauli
Oct 14, 2022 5.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Hamburger SV
  • Eric Smith 61' goal
  • Marcel Hartel 74' goal
  • David Otto 89' goal
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Hamburger SV
Jan 21, 2022 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
St Pauli
  • Sebastian Schonlau 58' goal
  • Tim Walter 63' yellowcard
  • Sonny Kittel 66' yellowcard
  • Bakery Jatta 70' goal
  • Ludovit Reis 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Etienne Amenyido 26'
  • goal Guido Burgstaller 30'
  • yellowcard Jackson Irvine 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Marcel Hartel 65'
  • yellowcard Rico Benatelli 90'+4'

Form Data

Dortmund 3 - 2 St Pauli
Wolfsburg 2 - 1 St Pauli
St Pauli 0 - 0 Werder Bremen
Mainz 0 - 0 St Pauli
St Pauli 2 - 1 Heidenheim
FC Koln 1 - 1 St Pauli
Hamburger SV 0 - 0 Borussia M'bach
Freiburg 0 - 0 Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV 1 - 1 Frankfurt
Hoffenheim 4 - 1 Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV 3 - 2 Werder Bremen
Hamburger SV 1 - 1 Holstein Kiel