Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Jan 17, 2026 2.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Signal Iduna Park
  • Julian Brandt 45'+1' goal
  • Karim Adeyemi 54' goal
  • Maximilian Beier 71' yellowcard
  • Yan Couto 71' yellowcard
  • Serhou Guirassy 71' yellowcard
  • Salih Özcan 83' yellowcard
  • Carney Chukwuemeka 83' yellowcard
  • Emre Can 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal James Sands 62'
  • yellowcard Ricky-Jade Jones 64'
  • yellowcard T. Ando 64'
  • yellowcard Louis Oppie 64'
  • goal Ricky-Jade Jones 72'

Borussia Dortmund vs St Pauli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last game
Jan 13, 2026 7.30pm
Dortmund 3 - 0 Werder Bremen
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Serhou Guirassy

St Pauli

All competitions
Last game
Jan 14, 2026 5.30pm
Wolfsburg 2 - 1 St Pauli
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Martijn Kaars

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 70.13%. A draw has a probability of 19.23% and a win for St Pauli has a probability of 10.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (14.17%) and 3-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.11%) , while for a St Pauli win it is 0-1 (3.99%).

Result

Borussia Dortmund 70.13% (-3.46)
Draw 19.23% (+1.06)
St Pauli 10.64% (+2.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.38% (+3.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.22% (+0.85)
Under 1.5 26.78% (-0.85)
Over 2.5 49.57% (+0.68)
Under 2.5 50.43% (-0.68)
Over 3.5 28.18% (+0.45)
Under 3.5 71.82% (-0.45)
Over 4.5 19.12% (-0.50)
Under 4.5 80.88% (+0.50)

First Half Winner

Borussia Dortmund 55.14%
Draw 32.69%
St Pauli 12.18%

Team To Score First

Borussia Dortmund 71.27% (+0.32)
No Goal 7.7% (-0.40)
St Pauli 21.03% (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 15.07% (-44.75)
Equal 8 5.97% (-5.20)
Under 8 78.96% (+49.95)
Over 9 11.03% (-37.22)
Equal 9 4.04% (-7.53)
Under 9 84.93% (+44.76)
Over 10.5 8.35% (-28.91)
Under 10.5 91.65% (+28.92)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 1.5 59.2% (-1.60)
Under 1.5 40.8% (+1.60)
Over 2.5 32.59% (-1.58)
Under 2.5 67.41% (+1.58)
Over 3.5 15.06% (-1.16)
Under 3.5 84.94% (+1.16)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 38.68% (+4.50)
Under 0.5 61.32% (-4.50)
Over 1.5 12.34% (+2.59)
Under 1.5 87.66% (-2.60)
Over 2.5 2.95% (+0.90)
Under 2.5 97.05% (-0.90)
Over 3.5 0.57% (+0.22)
Under 3.5 99.43% (-0.22)

Score analysis

Borussia Dortmund 70.13%
Draw 19.23%
St Pauli 10.64%
Borussia Dortmund
1-0 @ 15.09% (-1.02)
2-0 @ 14.17% (-1.05)
3-0 @ 9.32% (-0.86)
2-1 @ 8.8% (+0.33)
3-1 @ 5.44% (+0.20)
3-2 @ 2.27% (+0.15)
Other @ 15.04% (-1.18)
Total : 70.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.11% (+0.82)
0-0 @ 7.7% (-0.40)
2-2 @ 2.9% (+0.50)
Other @ 0.02% (+0.01)
Total : 19.23%
St Pauli
0-1 @ 3.99% (+0.58)
1-2 @ 2.85% (+0.65)
0-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.55% (+0.22)
Total : 10.64%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Aug 23, 2025 5.30pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2025 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion
  • Abdoulie Ceesay 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nico Schlotterbeck 13'
  • goal Serhou Guirassy 50'
  • goal Karim Adeyemi 58'
  • yellowcard Karim Adeyemi 82'
  • yellowcard Karim Adeyemi 83'
Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Oct 18, 2024 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
  • Ramy Bensebaini 43' goal
  • Jamie Bynoe-Gittens 75' yellowcard
  • Julian Brandt 77' yellowcard
  • Serhou Guirassy 83' goal
  • goal Morgan Guilavogui 30'
  • yellowcard Eric Smith 40'
  • goal Eric Smith 78'
DFB-Pokal
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Etienne Amenyido 4' goal
  • Axel Witsel 40' goal
  • goal Erling Braut Haaland 58'
DFB-Pokal
Oct 28, 2014 7.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Soren Gonther 84' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Maier 85' yellowcard
  • goal Ciro Immobile 33'
  • goal Marco Reus 44'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Kehl 84'
  • goal Shinji Kagawa 86'