Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 56.05%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 23.04% and a draw had a probability of 20.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.46%) and 1-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (5.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.