Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 64.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for St Pauli had a probability of 15.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.52%) and 2-0 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%) , while for a St Pauli win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.