DFB-Pokal
Feb 3, 2026 7.45pm
BayArena

Bayer Leverkusen vs St Pauli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

St Pauli

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 63.77%. A draw has a probability of 19.94% and a win for St Pauli has a probability of 16.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.39%) and 2-0 (10.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.56%) , while for a St Pauli win it is 0-1 (4.49%).

Result

Bayer Leverkusen 63.77% (-1.83)
Draw 19.94% (+0.57)
St Pauli 16.29% (+1.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.7% (+0.83)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.05% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 19.95% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 57.97% (-0.56)
Under 2.5 42.03% (+0.56)
Over 3.5 34.89% (-0.75)
Under 3.5 65.11% (+0.75)
Over 4.5 22.74% (-1.06)
Under 4.5 77.26% (+1.06)

First Half Winner

Bayer Leverkusen 45.59% (-3.63)
Draw 38.04% (+2.79)
St Pauli 16.37% (+0.85)

Team To Score First

Bayer Leverkusen 67.81% (-1.38)
No Goal 4.97% (+0.01)
St Pauli 27.22% (+1.37)

Corners

Over 8 57.04% (-0.08)
Equal 8 11.07% (-0.05)
Under 8 31.89% (+0.13)
Over 9 45.83% (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.22% (-0.05)
Under 9 42.96% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 35.35% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 64.65% (-0.04)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 1.5 60.1% (-1.65)
Under 1.5 39.9% (+1.65)
Over 2.5 33.8% (-1.67)
Under 2.5 66.2% (+1.66)
Over 3.5 15.4% (-1.25)
Under 3.5 84.6% (+1.24)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 51.45% (+1.71)
Under 0.5 48.55% (-1.71)
Over 1.5 20.6% (+1.25)
Under 1.5 79.4% (-1.24)
Over 2.5 6.07% (+0.56)
Under 2.5 93.93% (-0.55)
Over 3.5 1.51% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 98.49% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 63.77%
Draw 19.94%
St Pauli 16.29%
Bayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 10.49% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 10.39% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 10.16% (-0.23)
3-0 @ 7.55% (-0.36)
3-1 @ 6.41% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.11)
Other @ 15.38% (-1.20)
Total : 63.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.56% (+0.40)
0-0 @ 4.97% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.34% (+0.14)
3-3 @ 1.05% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.02% (-0.04)
Total : 19.94%
St Pauli
0-1 @ 4.49% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 4.44% (+0.43)
0-2 @ 2.36% (+0.23)
2-3 @ 1.41% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 1.4% (+0.17)
Other @ 1.49% (+0.15)
Total : 16.29%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Sep 27, 2025 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga Gameweek 30
Apr 20, 2025 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Millerntor-Stadion
  • Carlo Boukhalfa 78' goal
  • Eric Smith 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Patrik Schick 32'
  • yellowcard Piero Hincapie 63'
  • yellowcard Jeremie Frimpong 64'
  • yellowcard Lukas Hradecky 64'
  • yellowcard Nathan Tella 77'
Bundesliga Gameweek 13
Dec 7, 2024 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT BayArena
  • Florian Wirtz 6' goal
  • Jonathan Tah 21' goal
  • Piero Hincapie 28' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Morgan Guilavogui 37'
  • yellowcard Manolis Saliakas 75'
  • goal Morgan Guilavogui 84'
  • yellowcard Adam Dzwigala 90'+3'