DFB-Pokal
Feb 3, 2026 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT BayArena
  • Martin Terrier 31' goal
  • Martin Terrier 32' goal
  • Arthur 58' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Fernandez 58' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Fernández 58' yellowcard
  • Patrik Schick 63' goal
  • Jonas Hofmann 65' yellowcard
  • Loic Bade 89' yellowcard
  • Christian Michel Kofane 89' yellowcard
  • Loïc Badé 89' yellowcard
  • Christian Kofane 89' yellowcard
  • Jonas Hofmann 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Ricky Jade-Jones 46'
  • yellowcard Manolis Saliakas 46'
  • yellowcard Ricky-Jade Jones 46'
  • yellowcard Jackson Irvine 68'
  • yellowcard Taichi Hara 80'
  • yellowcard Abdoulie Ceesay 89'

Bayer Leverkusen vs St Pauli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

St Pauli

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 64.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for St Pauli had a probability of 15.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.52%) and 2-0 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%) , while for a St Pauli win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result

Bayer Leverkusen 64.91% (+1.05)
Draw 19.3% (-0.65)
St Pauli 15.8% (-0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.5% (-0.16)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.06% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 19.94% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 58.09% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 41.91% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 34.8% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 65.2% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 22.81% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 77.19% (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Bayer Leverkusen 46.83% (+1.25)
Draw 37.02% (-1.00)
St Pauli 16.14% (-0.26)

Team To Score First

Bayer Leverkusen 67.75% (-0.04)
No Goal 4.68% (-0.30)
St Pauli 27.57% (+0.33)

Corners

Over 8 56.46% (-0.54)
Equal 8 11.39% (+0.34)
Under 8 32.15% (+0.20)
Over 9 44.97% (-0.83)
Equal 9 11.49% (+0.30)
Under 9 43.54% (+0.54)
Over 10.5 34.31% (-1.02)
Under 10.5 65.68% (+1.02)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 1.5 60.62% (+0.49)
Under 1.5 39.38% (-0.49)
Over 2.5 34.33% (+0.45)
Under 2.5 65.67% (-0.46)
Over 3.5 15.41% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 84.59% (-0.04)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 51.01% (-0.40)
Under 0.5 48.99% (+0.40)
Over 1.5 20.04% (-0.45)
Under 1.5 79.96% (+0.45)
Over 2.5 5.8% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 94.2% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 1.48%
Under 3.5 98.52%

Score analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 64.91%
Draw 19.3%
St Pauli 15.8%
Bayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 10.85% (+0.34)
2-1 @ 10.52% (+0.13)
2-0 @ 10.17% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 7.9% (+0.31)
3-1 @ 6.53% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.54% (+0.15)
Other @ 15.4% (+0.05)
Total : 64.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.5% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 4.68% (-0.30)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.17)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.01)
Total : 19.3%
St Pauli
0-1 @ 4.42% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 4.25% (-0.20)
0-2 @ 2.29% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.44% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.31% (-0.08)
Other @ 1.47% (+0.02)
Total : 15.8%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Sep 27, 2025 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga Gameweek 30
Apr 20, 2025 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Millerntor-Stadion
  • Carlo Boukhalfa 78' goal
  • Eric Smith 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Patrik Schick 32'
  • yellowcard Piero Hincapie 63'
  • yellowcard Jeremie Frimpong 64'
  • yellowcard Lukas Hradecky 64'
  • yellowcard Nathan Tella 77'
Bundesliga Gameweek 13
Dec 7, 2024 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT BayArena
  • Florian Wirtz 6' goal
  • Jonathan Tah 21' goal
  • Piero Hincapie 28' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Morgan Guilavogui 37'
  • yellowcard Manolis Saliakas 75'
  • goal Morgan Guilavogui 84'
  • yellowcard Adam Dzwigala 90'+3'