Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 53.33%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 20.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (6.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.