Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 59.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.35% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 19.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%) , while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.