Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 53.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.24% and a win for St Pauli had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%) , while for a St Pauli win it was 2-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.