Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Feb 7, 2026 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion
  • Manolis Saliakas 35' goal
  • Danel Sinani 55' yellowcard
  • Taichi Hara 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Lars Ritzka 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jamie Leweling 46'
  • yellowcard Lorenz Assignon 69'
  • yellowcard Badredine Bouanani 69'
  • yellowcard Chema Andrés 85'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Arévalo 85'
  • goal Jamie Leweling 90'

St Pauli vs Stuttgart - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 2.30pm
Augsburg 2 - 1 St Pauli
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Martijn Kaars

Stuttgart

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 2.30pm
Stuttgart 1 - 0 Freiburg
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Deniz Undav

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 53.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.24% and a win for St Pauli had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%) , while for a St Pauli win it was 2-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result

St Pauli 23% (+0.24)
Draw 23.24% (+0.11)
Stuttgart 53.75% (-0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.12%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.09% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 21.91% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 55.79% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 44.21% (+0.17)
Over 3.5 33.47% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 66.5% (+0.19)
Over 4.5 20.42% (-0.28)
Under 4.5 79.58% (+0.29)

First Half Winner

St Pauli 18.43% (+0.17)
Draw 36.72% (+0.30)
Stuttgart 44.84% (-0.48)

Team To Score First

St Pauli 31.75% (+0.06)
No Goal 6.21% (+0.09)
Stuttgart 62.04% (-0.15)

Corners

Over 8 52.61% (-0.53)
Equal 8 11.33% (-0.37)
Under 8 36.06% (+0.90)
Over 9 41.51% (-0.15)
Equal 9 11.1% (-0.40)
Under 9 47.39% (+0.53)
Over 10.5 31.48% (+0.22)
Under 10.5 68.52% (-0.22)

St Pauli Goals

Over 1.5 26.93% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 73.07% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 8.73%
Under 2.5 91.27%
Over 3.5 2.39% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.61% (-0.02)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5 80.72% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 19.28% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 52.34% (-0.42)
Under 1.5 47.66% (+0.42)
Over 2.5 27.44% (-0.28)
Under 2.5 72.56% (+0.29)
Over 3.5 11.9% (-0.24)
Under 3.5 88.1% (+0.23)

Score analysis

St Pauli 23.01%
Draw 23.24%
Stuttgart 53.74%
St Pauli
2-1 @ 6.1% (+0.15)
1-0 @ 6.07% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 3.33% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.15% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.26% (+0.01)
Total : 23.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.51% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 6.21% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.24%
Stuttgart
0-1 @ 9.62% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 9.43% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 8.47% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 5.59% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 5.39% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 3.47% (-0.04)
Other @ 11.77% (-0.24)
Total : 53.74%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Sep 19, 2025 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga Gameweek 32
May 3, 2025 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion
  • Siebe Van der Heyden 38' yellowcard
  • Carlo Boukhalfa 51' yellowcard
  • Siebe Van der Heyden 57' redcard
  • Danel Sinani 84' yellowcard
  • Nikola Vasilj 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Nikola Vasilj 90'+6' redcard
  • yellowcard Julian Chabot 17'
  • yellowcard Angelo Stiller 53'
  • yellowcard Deniz Undav 67'
  • goal Nick Woltemade 88'
Bundesliga Gameweek 15
Dec 21, 2024 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Mercedes-Benz-Arena
  • Yannik Keitel 76' yellowcard
  • Nick Woltemade 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Johannes Eggestein 21'
  • yellowcard Johannes Eggestein 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Danel Sinani 83'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Feb 1, 2020 12.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion
  • Johannes Flum 39' yellowcard
  • Henk Veerman 56' goal
  • goal Mario Gomez 81'
  • yellowcard Orel Mangala 88'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Aug 17, 2019 12.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Mercedes-Benz-Arena (Stuttgart)
  • Marc-Oliver Kempf 60' goal
  • Nicolas Gonzalez 90' goal
  • goal Mats Daehli 18'
  • yellowcard Florian Carstens 67'
  • yellowcard Waldemar Sobota 87'