Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Feb 1, 2026 2.30pm
MHPArena

Stuttgart vs Freiburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2026 2.30pm
Borussia M'bach 0 - 0 Stuttgart
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Deniz Undav

Freiburg

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2026 4.30pm
Freiburg 2 - 1 FC Koln
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Johan Manzambi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stuttgart win with a probability of 54.98%. A win for Freiburg has a probability of 22.78% and a draw has a probability of 22.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.92%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Freiburg win is 0-1 (5.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.31%).

Result

Stuttgart 54.98% (+4.37)
Draw 22.24% (-1.41)
Freiburg 22.78% (-2.90)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.11% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.93% (+0.87)
Under 1.5 21.07% (-0.86)
Over 2.5 56.86% (+1.33)
Under 2.5 43.14% (-1.33)
Over 3.5 34.39% (+1.32)
Under 3.5 65.61% (-1.32)
Over 4.5 20.79% (+1.49)
Under 4.5 79.21% (-1.50)

First Half Winner

Stuttgart 42.33% (+3.25)
Draw 37.92% (-1.31)
Freiburg 19.76% (-1.93)

Team To Score First

Stuttgart 59.59% (+2.27)
No Goal 5.31% (-0.43)
Freiburg 35.1% (-1.84)

Corners

Over 8 55% (-1.43)
Equal 8 11.54% (-0.29)
Under 8 33.46% (+1.70)
Over 9 43.5% (-1.00)
Equal 9 11.51% (-0.42)
Under 9 45% (+1.43)
Over 10.5 32.95% (-0.53)
Under 10.5 67.05% (+0.54)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 1.5 53.78% (+3.67)
Under 1.5 46.22% (-3.67)
Over 2.5 27.47% (+3.31)
Under 2.5 72.53% (-3.32)
Over 3.5 11.22% (+1.58)
Under 3.5 88.78% (-1.58)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5 59.89% (-2.29)
Under 0.5 40.11% (+2.29)
Over 1.5 27.29% (-2.41)
Under 1.5 72.71% (+2.41)
Over 2.5 9.24% (-1.20)
Under 2.5 90.76% (+1.21)
Over 3.5 2.56% (-0.44)
Under 3.5 97.44% (+0.44)

Score analysis

Stuttgart 54.97%
Draw 22.23%
Freiburg 22.78%
Stuttgart
2-1 @ 10.41% (+0.59)
1-0 @ 9.92% (+0.12)
2-0 @ 8.5% (+0.41)
3-1 @ 6.06% (+0.59)
3-0 @ 5.22% (+0.65)
3-2 @ 3.72% (+0.43)
Other @ 11.14% (+1.62)
Total : 54.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.31% (-0.58)
0-0 @ 5.31% (-0.43)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.47)
3-3 @ 1.25% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.08% (-0.03)
Total : 22.23%
Freiburg
0-1 @ 5.82% (-0.48)
1-2 @ 5.78% (-0.84)
0-2 @ 3.27% (-0.32)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.29)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.17)
0-3 @ 1.05% (-0.38)
Other @ 2.48% (-0.42)
Total : 22.78%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2025 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2025 2.30pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Mercedes-Benz-Arena
  • Anthony Rouault 2' goal
  • Josha Vagnomann 11' yellowcard
  • Ermedin Demirovic 17' goal
  • Nick Woltemade 45'+5' goal
  • Enzo Millot 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Atakan Karazor 53' yellowcard
  • Deniz Undav 80' goal
  • Jacob Bruun Larsen 82' yellowcard
  • Deniz Undav 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patrick Osterhage 15'
  • yellowcard Philipp Lienhart 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Jordy Makengo 82'
Bundesliga Gameweek 1
Aug 24, 2024 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
  • Lukas Kubler 26' goal
  • Chukwubuike Adamu 41' yellowcard
  • Ritsu Doan 54' goal
  • Philipp Lienhart 57' yellowcard
  • Lukas Kubler 61' goal
  • goal Ermedin Demirovic 2'
  • yellowcard Maximilian Mittelstadt 65'
Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2024 2.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
  • Merlin Rohl 18' redcard
  • Christian Streich 21' yellowcard
  • Matthias Ginter 41' yellowcard
  • Maximilian Eggestein 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Lukas Kubler 45'+11' goal
  • Lukas Kubler 90' yellowcard
  • Maximilian Philipp 90'+9' yellowcard
  • goal Deniz Undav 3'
  • goal Chris Fuhrich 7'
  • yellowcard Maximilian Mittelstadt 72'
  • goal Maximilian Mittelstadt 74'
  • yellowcard Angelo Stiller 90'+9'
Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Sep 2, 2023 2.30pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT Mercedes-Benz-Arena
  • Chris Fuhrich 8' goal
  • Serhou Guirassy 17' goal
  • Serhou Guirassy 19' goal
  • Hiroki Ito 38' yellowcard
  • Chris Fuhrich 62' goal
  • Enzo Millot 75' goal
  • yellowcard Maximilian Philipp 86'
Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Vincenzo Grifo 60' goal
  • Vincenzo Grifo 84' goal
  • goal Chris Fuhrich 30'