Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 49.23%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-0 (6.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.