Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 58.12%. A draw had a probability of 21.44% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 20.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%) , while for a Heidenheim win it was 1-0 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.