Bundesliga Gameweek 18
RB Leipzig
Jan 17, 2026 5.30pm
1
5
HT : 2 0
FT Red Bull Arena
Bayern
  • Romulo Cardoso 20' goal
  • Rômulo 20' goal
  • Ezechiel Banzuzi 81' yellowcard
  • Conrad Harder 81' yellowcard
  • Tidiam Gomis 84' yellowcard
  • Andrija Maksimovic 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joshua Kimmich 46'
  • goal Serge Gnabry 50'
  • yellowcard Michael Olise 56'
  • goal Harry Kane 67'
  • yellowcard Alphonso Davies 81'
  • goal Jonathan Tah 82'
  • goal Aleksandar Pavlovic 85'
  • yellowcard Min-jae Kim 86'
  • yellowcard Jamal Musiala 87'
  • goal Michael Olise 88'

RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last game
Jan 14, 2026 7.30pm
RB Leipzig 2 - 0 Freiburg
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Christoph Baumgartner

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Last game
Jan 14, 2026 7.30pm
FC Koln 1 - 3 Bayern
Goals scored
85
Top scorer
Harry Kane

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 55.28%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 24.4% and a draw had a probability of 20.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.94%) and 1-3 (6.62%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (5.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.7%).

Result

RB Leipzig 24.4% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 20.39%
Bayern Munich 55.28%

Both Teams to Score: 

64.62% ▲ (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 86.48% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 13.52% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 67.82% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 32.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 46.29% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 53.71% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 30.78% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 69.22% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

RB Leipzig 22.97%
Draw 32.56%
Bayern Munich 44.47%

Team To Score First

RB Leipzig 37.84%
No Goal 3.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Bayern Munich 58.96% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 61.49%
Equal 8 10.59%
Under 8 27.92%
Over 9 50.4%
Equal 9 11.09%
Under 9 38.51%
Over 10.5 39.71%
Under 10.5 60.29%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 1.5 33.38% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 66.62% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 14.02% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 85.98% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.74% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.26% ▼ (-0.01)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 83.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 16.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 60.4%
Under 1.5 39.6%
Over 2.5 35.45% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 64.55% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 16.75%
Under 3.5 83.25%

Score analysis

RB Leipzig 24.4%
Draw 20.38%
Bayern Munich 55.27%
RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 5.59%
1-0 @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.03%
3-1 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.45%
Other @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 24.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.7%
2-2 @ 5.93% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2.16%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 20.38%
Bayern Munich
1-2 @ 9.37%
0-2 @ 6.94% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.62%
0-1 @ 6.06%
0-3 @ 5.11% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 4.81%
Other @ 16.36%
Total : 55.27%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Bayern
Aug 22, 2025 7.30pm
6
0
HT : 0 0
FT
RB Leipzig
Bundesliga Gameweek 32
RB Leipzig
May 3, 2025 2.30pm
3
3
HT : 2 0
FT Red Bull Arena
Bayern
  • Benjamin Sesko 11' goal
  • Lukas Klostermann 39' goal
  • David Raum 50' yellowcard
  • Kevin Kampl 77' yellowcard
  • Kevin Kampl 78' yellowcard
  • Arthur Vermeeren 89' yellowcard
  • Yussuf Poulsen 90'+4' goal
  • goal Eric Dier 62'
  • goal Michael Olise 63'
  • yellowcard Eric Dier 73'
  • goal Leroy Sane 83'
Bundesliga Gameweek 15
Bayern
Dec 20, 2024 7.30pm
5
1
HT : 3 1
FT Allianz Arena
RB Leipzig
  • Jamal Musiala 1' goal
  • Dayot Upamecano 20' yellowcard
  • Konrad Laimer 25' goal
  • Joshua Kimmich 36' goal
  • Michael Olise 56' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane 60' yellowcard
  • Konrad Laimer 64' yellowcard
  • Leroy Sane 75' goal
  • Alphonso Davies 78' goal
  • Joshua Kimmich 82' yellowcard
  • goal Benjamin Sesko 2'
  • yellowcard Xaver Schlager 26'
  • yellowcard Marco Rose 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Henrichs 59'
Bundesliga Gameweek 23
Bayern
Feb 24, 2024 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Arena
RB Leipzig
  • Aleksandar Pavlovic 37' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane 56' goal
  • Matthijs de Ligt 59' yellowcard
  • Jamal Musiala 66' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Willi Orban 41'
  • yellowcard Xaver Schlager 67'
  • goal Benjamin Sesko 70'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Simakan 78'
Bundesliga Gameweek 6
RB Leipzig
Sep 30, 2023 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 4 0
FT Red Bull Arena
Bayern
  • Lois Openda 20' goal
  • Lois Openda 20' goal
  • Castello Lukeba 26' goal
  • Castello Lukeba 26' goal
  • Mohamed Simakan 54' yellowcard
  • Castello Lukeba 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harry Kane 38'
  • yellowcard Sven Ulreich 44'
  • yellowcard Dayot Upamecano 51'
  • goal Harry Kane 57'
  • goal Leroy Sane 70'
  • yellowcard Jamal Musiala 72'
  • yellowcard Mathys Tel 81'
DFL-Supercup
Bayern
Aug 12, 2023 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Allianz Arena
RB Leipzig
  • Benjamin Pavard 13' yellowcard
  • Dayot Upamecano 34' yellowcard
  • goal Dani Olmo 3'
  • goal Dani Olmo 44'
  • goal Dani Olmo 68'
  • yellowcard Dani Olmo 71'

Form Data

RB Leipzig 2 - 0 Freiburg
RB Leipzig 1 - 3 B. Leverkusen
Union Berlin 3 - 1 RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig 6 - 0 Frankfurt
RB Leipzig 3 - 1 Magdeburg
Borussia M'bach 0 - 0 RB Leipzig
FC Koln 1 - 3 Bayern
Bayern 8 - 1 Wolfsburg
Salzburg 0 - 5 Bayern
Heidenheim 0 - 4 Bayern
Bayern 2 - 2 Mainz
Bayern 3 - 1 Sporting Lisbon