Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Jan 17, 2026 5.30pm
Red Bull Arena

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 2.30pm
St Pauli 0 - 0 RB Leipzig
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Yan Diomande

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Last game
Jan 11, 2026 4.30pm
Bayern 8 - 1 Wolfsburg
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Harry Kane

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 54.01%. A win for RB Leipzig has a probability of 25.81% and a draw has a probability of 20.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (6.3%) and 1-3 (6.24%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win is 2-1 (5.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.06%).

Result

RB Leipzig 25.81%
Draw 20.18%
Bayern Munich 54.01%

Both Teams to Score: 

65.09%

Goals

Over 1.5 87.66%
Under 1.5 12.34%
Over 2.5 70.21%
Under 2.5 29.79%
Over 3.5 50.05%
Under 3.5 49.95%
Over 4.5 34.47%
Under 4.5 65.53%

First Half Winner

RB Leipzig 24.94%
Draw 28.91%
Bayern Munich 46.15%

Team To Score First

RB Leipzig 38.11%
No Goal 3%
Bayern Munich 58.89%

Corners

Over 8 63.27%
Equal 8 10.74%
Under 8 25.99%
Over 9 51.86%
Equal 9 11.41%
Under 9 36.73%
Over 10.5 40.75%
Under 10.5 59.25%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 1.5 35.85%
Under 1.5 64.15%
Over 2.5 16.05%
Under 2.5 83.95%
Over 3.5 6.05%
Under 3.5 93.95%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 82.99%
Under 0.5 17.01%
Over 1.5 60.97%
Under 1.5 39.03%
Over 2.5 36.97%
Under 2.5 63.03%
Over 3.5 18.64%
Under 3.5 81.36%

Score analysis

RB Leipzig 25.81%
Draw 20.17%
Bayern Munich 54%
RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 5.54%
1-0 @ 4.21%
3-1 @ 3.31%
2-0 @ 3.1%
3-2 @ 2.97%
3-0 @ 1.34%
Other @ 5.34%
Total : 25.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.06%
2-2 @ 6.02%
0-0 @ 3%
3-3 @ 2.38%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 20.17%
Bayern Munich
1-2 @ 8.71%
0-2 @ 6.3%
1-3 @ 6.24%
2-3 @ 5.14%
0-1 @ 5.11%
0-3 @ 4.57%
Other @ 17.93%
Total : 54%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Aug 22, 2025 7.30pm
6
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga Gameweek 32
May 3, 2025 2.30pm
3
3
HT : 2 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Benjamin Sesko 11' goal
  • Lukas Klostermann 39' goal
  • David Raum 50' yellowcard
  • Kevin Kampl 77' yellowcard
  • Kevin Kampl 78' yellowcard
  • Arthur Vermeeren 89' yellowcard
  • Yussuf Poulsen 90'+4' goal
  • goal Eric Dier 62'
  • goal Michael Olise 63'
  • yellowcard Eric Dier 73'
  • goal Leroy Sane 83'
Bundesliga Gameweek 15
Dec 20, 2024 7.30pm
5
1
HT : 3 1
FT Allianz Arena
  • Jamal Musiala 1' goal
  • Dayot Upamecano 20' yellowcard
  • Konrad Laimer 25' goal
  • Joshua Kimmich 36' goal
  • Michael Olise 56' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane 60' yellowcard
  • Konrad Laimer 64' yellowcard
  • Leroy Sane 75' goal
  • Alphonso Davies 78' goal
  • Joshua Kimmich 82' yellowcard
  • goal Benjamin Sesko 2'
  • yellowcard Xaver Schlager 26'
  • yellowcard Marco Rose 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Henrichs 59'
Bundesliga Gameweek 23
Feb 24, 2024 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Arena
  • Aleksandar Pavlovic 37' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane 56' goal
  • Matthijs de Ligt 59' yellowcard
  • Jamal Musiala 66' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Willi Orban 41'
  • yellowcard Xaver Schlager 67'
  • goal Benjamin Sesko 70'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Simakan 78'
Bundesliga Gameweek 6
Sep 30, 2023 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 4 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Lois Openda 20' goal
  • Lois Openda 20' goal
  • Castello Lukeba 26' goal
  • Castello Lukeba 26' goal
  • Mohamed Simakan 54' yellowcard
  • Castello Lukeba 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harry Kane 38'
  • yellowcard Sven Ulreich 44'
  • yellowcard Dayot Upamecano 51'
  • goal Harry Kane 57'
  • goal Leroy Sane 70'
  • yellowcard Jamal Musiala 72'
  • yellowcard Mathys Tel 81'
DFL-Supercup
Aug 12, 2023 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Allianz Arena
  • Benjamin Pavard 13' yellowcard
  • Dayot Upamecano 34' yellowcard
  • goal Dani Olmo 3'
  • goal Dani Olmo 44'
  • goal Dani Olmo 68'
  • yellowcard Dani Olmo 71'