Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 67.79%. A draw had a probability of 19.62% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 12.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%) , while for a Heidenheim win it was 0-1 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.