Bundesliga
Union Berlin
Jan 24, 2026 5.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Dortmund
  • Livan Burcu 66' yellowcard
  • Stanley Nsoki 66' yellowcard
  • Oliver Burke 76' yellowcard
  • András Schäfer 76' yellowcard
  • Christopher Trimmel 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emre Can 10'
  • goal Nico Schlotterbeck 53'
  • yellowcard Aarón Anselmino 69'
  • yellowcard Carney Chukwuemeka 79'
  • goal Maximilian Beier 84'
  • yellowcard Filippo Mane 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Salih Özcan 90'+3'

Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Jan 18, 2026 2.30pm
Stuttgart 0 - 0 Union Berlin
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Rani Khedira

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 2.30pm
Dortmund 0 - 0 St Pauli
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Maximilian Beier

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-0 (7.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result

Union Berlin 30.95% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 25.85% ▲ (+0.02)
Borussia Dortmund 43.23% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.43% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 76% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 24% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 52.19% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 47.81% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 29.17% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 70.83% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 4.5 15.89% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 84.11% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Union Berlin 25.75% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 39.95% ▲ (+0.03)
Borussia Dortmund 34.3% ▼ (-0.07)

Team To Score First

Union Berlin 39.03% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 6.63% ▼ (-0.01)
Borussia Dortmund 54.34% ▲ (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 53.94% ▲ (+0.24)
Equal 8 11.74% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 34.32% ▼ (-0.26)
Over 9 42.34% ▲ (+0.21)
Equal 9 11.6% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 9 46.06% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 10.5 31.82% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 10.5 68.18% ▼ (-0.16)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 1.5 32.7% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 67.3% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 12.11% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 87.89% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.46% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.54% ▼ (-0.02)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 75.32% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 24.68% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 42.96% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 57.04% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 18.79% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 81.21% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.57% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 93.43% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Union Berlin 30.94%
Draw 25.86%
Borussia Dortmund 43.24%
Union Berlin
1-0 @ 7.96% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.55% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 30.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.2% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.63% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.86%
Borussia Dortmund
0-1 @ 9.45% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 9.41% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.94% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.69% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 6.41% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 43.24%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Dortmund
Aug 31, 2025 4.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Union Berlin
Bundesliga Gameweek 23
Dortmund
Feb 22, 2025 5.30pm
6
0
HT : 2 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
Union Berlin
  • Diogo Leite 25' goal
  • Serhou Guirassy 40' goal
  • Ramy Bensebaini 50' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Reyna 58' yellowcard
  • Serhou Guirassy 75' goal
  • Serhou Guirassy 80' goal
  • Serhou Guirassy 83' goal
  • Maximilian Beier 89' goal
  • yellowcard Rani Khedira 17'
  • yellowcard Lucas Tousart 55'
Bundesliga Gameweek 6
Union Berlin
Oct 5, 2024 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Dortmund
  • Kevin Vogt 15' yellowcard
  • Kevin Vogt 26' goal
  • Jeong Woo-yeong 41' yellowcard
  • Yorbe Vertessen 45' goal
  • Tom Rothe 84' yellowcard
  • Christopher Trimmel 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nico Schlotterbeck 17'
  • goal Julian Ryerson 62'
  • yellowcard Marcel Sabitzer 83'
  • yellowcard Waldemar Anton 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Ramy Bensebaini 90'+6'
Bundesliga Gameweek 24
Union Berlin
Mar 2, 2024 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Dortmund
  • Janik Haberer 75' yellowcard
  • Yorbe Vertessen 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Karim Adeyemi 41'
  • yellowcard Julian Ryerson 45'
  • goal Ian Maatsen 90'
Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Dortmund
Oct 7, 2023 2.30pm
4
2
HT : 1 2
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
Union Berlin
  • Niclas Fullkrug 7' goal
  • Mats Hummels 30' yellowcard
  • Nico Schlotterbeck 49' goal
  • Julian Brandt 54' goal
  • Julian Ryerson 71' goal
  • goal Robin Gosens 9'
  • goal Leonardo Bonucci 31'
  • yellowcard Robin Gosens 64'
Bundesliga Gameweek 27
Dortmund
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Union Berlin
  • Donyell Malen 28' goal
  • Youssoufa Moukoko 79' goal
  • goal Kevin Behrens 61'

Form Data

Stuttgart 0 - 0 Union Berlin
Augsburg 1 - 1 Union Berlin
Union Berlin 0 - 0 Mainz
Erzgebirge Aue 0 - 0 Union Berlin
FC Koln 0 - 1 Union Berlin
Union Berlin 3 - 1 RB Leipzig
Spurs 2 - 0 Dortmund
Dortmund 0 - 0 St Pauli
Dortmund 3 - 0 Werder Bremen
Frankfurt 3 - 3 Dortmund
Dortmund 2 - 0 Borussia M'bach
Freiburg 1 - 1 Dortmund