Bundesliga Gameweek 19
Jan 24, 2026 5.30pm
Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Jan 15, 2026 7.30pm
Augsburg 1 - 1 Union Berlin
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Rani Khedira

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 2.30pm
Dortmund 0 - 0 St Pauli
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Julian Brandt

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Union Berlin has a probability of 29.66% and a draw has a probability of 25.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Union Berlin win is 1-0 (7.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.86%).

Result

Union Berlin 29.66% (-0.06)
Draw 25.34% (-0.15)
Borussia Dortmund 45.03% (+0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.43% (+0.61)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.12% (+0.64)
Under 1.5 23.88% (-0.64)
Over 2.5 52.54% (+0.68)
Under 2.5 47.46% (-0.68)
Over 3.5 30.2% (+0.38)
Under 3.5 69.8% (-0.39)
Over 4.5 16.69% (+0.24)
Under 4.5 83.31% (-0.24)

First Half Winner

Union Berlin 25.64% (-0.06)
Draw 41.19% (+0.02)
Borussia Dortmund 33.17% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Union Berlin 38.96% (-0.61)
No Goal 6.49% (-0.28)
Borussia Dortmund 54.55% (+0.88)

Corners

Over 8 51.88% (+0.97)
Equal 8 11.89% (+0.07)
Under 8 36.23% (-1.04)
Over 9 40.33% (+0.83)
Equal 9 11.55% (+0.15)
Under 9 48.12% (-0.97)
Over 10.5 30.02% (+0.65)
Under 10.5 69.98% (-0.65)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 1.5 31.7% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 68.3% (-0.33)
Over 2.5 11.34% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 88.66% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 3.28% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.72% (-0.04)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 76.14% (+0.46)
Under 0.5 23.86% (-0.47)
Over 1.5 44.53% (+0.47)
Under 1.5 55.47% (-0.47)
Over 2.5 19.89% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 80.11% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 7.46% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 92.54% (-0.13)

Score analysis

Union Berlin 29.66%
Draw 25.34%
Borussia Dortmund 45.03%
Union Berlin
1-0 @ 7.77% (-0.22)
2-1 @ 7.12% (+0.12)
2-0 @ 4.54% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.98% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.16%
3-0 @ 1.88% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.21% (+0.05)
Total : 29.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.86% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.49% (-0.28)
2-2 @ 5.88% (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.07% (-0.02)
Total : 25.34%
Borussia Dortmund
0-1 @ 9.65% (-0.14)
1-2 @ 9.41% (+0.15)
0-2 @ 7.19% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.63% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.94% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.82% (+0.05)
Other @ 7.39% (+0.15)
Total : 45.03%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Aug 31, 2025 4.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga Gameweek 23
Feb 22, 2025 5.30pm
6
0
HT : 2 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
  • Diogo Leite 25' goal
  • Serhou Guirassy 40' goal
  • Ramy Bensebaini 50' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Reyna 58' yellowcard
  • Serhou Guirassy 75' goal
  • Serhou Guirassy 80' goal
  • Serhou Guirassy 83' goal
  • Maximilian Beier 89' goal
  • yellowcard Rani Khedira 17'
  • yellowcard Lucas Tousart 55'
Bundesliga Gameweek 6
Oct 5, 2024 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
  • Kevin Vogt 15' yellowcard
  • Kevin Vogt 26' goal
  • Jeong Woo-yeong 41' yellowcard
  • Yorbe Vertessen 45' goal
  • Tom Rothe 84' yellowcard
  • Christopher Trimmel 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nico Schlotterbeck 17'
  • goal Julian Ryerson 62'
  • yellowcard Marcel Sabitzer 83'
  • yellowcard Waldemar Anton 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Ramy Bensebaini 90'+6'
Bundesliga Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2024 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
  • Janik Haberer 75' yellowcard
  • Yorbe Vertessen 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Karim Adeyemi 41'
  • yellowcard Julian Ryerson 45'
  • goal Ian Maatsen 90'
Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Oct 7, 2023 2.30pm
4
2
HT : 1 2
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
  • Niclas Fullkrug 7' goal
  • Mats Hummels 30' yellowcard
  • Nico Schlotterbeck 49' goal
  • Julian Brandt 54' goal
  • Julian Ryerson 71' goal
  • goal Robin Gosens 9'
  • goal Leonardo Bonucci 31'
  • yellowcard Robin Gosens 64'
Bundesliga Gameweek 27
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Donyell Malen 28' goal
  • Youssoufa Moukoko 79' goal
  • goal Kevin Behrens 61'