Champions League Gameweek 8
Jan 28, 2026 8.00pm
Signal Iduna Park

Borussia Dortmund vs Inter Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 20, 2026 8.00pm
Spurs 2 - 0 Dortmund

Inter Milan

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 20, 2026 8.00pm
Inter Milan 1 - 3 Arsenal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for Inter Milan has a probability of 35.23% and a draw has a probability of 25.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Inter Milan win is 1-2 (8.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.72%).

Result

Borussia Dortmund 39.46% (-0.18)
Draw 25.31%
Inter Milan 35.23% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.97%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.27%
Under 1.5 23.73%
Over 2.5 52.53% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 47.47% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 29.4% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 70.6% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 16.7% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.3% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Borussia Dortmund 30.02%
Draw 42.64%
Inter Milan 27.34%

Team To Score First

Borussia Dortmund 49.94%
No Goal 6.55% (-0.01)
Inter Milan 43.51% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 48.81%
Equal 8 10.97%
Under 8 40.22%
Over 9 38.34%
Equal 9 10.47%
Under 9 51.19%
Over 10.5 29.09%
Under 10.5 70.91%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 1.5 39.94% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 60.06% (+0.14)
Over 2.5 16.72% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 83.28% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 5.91% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 94.09% (+0.05)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 68.96% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 31.04% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 36.78% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 63.22% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 14.86% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 85.14% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 4.63% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.37% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Borussia Dortmund 39.47%
Draw 25.31%
Inter Milan 35.24%
Borussia Dortmund
1-0 @ 9.28% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.76% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.26% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.78% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.32% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.42%
Other @ 5.65% (-0.05)
Total : 39.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.72% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.55% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.26% (-0.02)
Total : 25.31%
Inter Milan
1-2 @ 8.27% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.92% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.74% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.44% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.79% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.71% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.37% (+0.04)
Total : 35.24%

Head to Head

Champions League Gameweek 4
Nov 5, 2019 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Achraf Hakimi 51' goal
  • Julian Brandt 64' goal
  • Achraf Hakimi 77' goal
  • Thorgan Hazard 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cristiano Biraghi 1'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 5'
  • yellowcard Milan Skriniar 30'
  • goal Matias Vecino 40'
  • yellowcard Antonio Candreva 48'
Champions League Gameweek 3
Oct 23, 2019 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lautaro Martinez 22' goal
  • Marcelo Brozovic 44' yellowcard
  • Nicolo Barella 56' yellowcard
  • Diego Godin 78' yellowcard
  • Antonio Candreva 89' goal
  • Antonio Candreva 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Julian Weigl 79'
  • yellowcard Mats Hummels 87'