Serie A Gameweek 16
Jan 14, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Francesco Pio Esposito 56' yellowcard
  • Pio Esposito 56' yellowcard
  • Davide Frattesi 57' yellowcard
  • Francesco Pio Esposito 57' yellowcard
  • Luis Henrique 57' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Martinez 72' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Martínez 72' yellowcard
  • Francesco Pio Esposito 78' goal
  • Pio Esposito 78' goal
  • Petar Sučić 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tete Morente 68'
  • yellowcard Tete Morente 69'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Kaba 69'
  • yellowcard Konan N'dri 82'
  • yellowcard Konan N’Dri 82'
  • yellowcard Alex Sala Herrero 86'
  • yellowcard Álex Sala 86'

Inter Milan vs Lecce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions
Last game
Jan 11, 2026 7.45pm
Inter Milan 2 - 2 Napoli
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Lautaro Martinez

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
Jan 11, 2026 11.30am
Lecce 1 - 2 Parma
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Lameck Banda

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 75.34%. A draw had a probability of 17.63% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 7.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.61%) and 3-0 (10.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.89%) , while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.1% likelihood.

Result

Inter Milan 75.34%
Draw 17.63%
Lecce 7.05%

Both Teams to Score: 

35.86%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.41%
Under 1.5 27.59%
Over 2.5 48.49%
Under 2.5 51.51%
Over 3.5 26.98%
Under 3.5 73.02%
Over 4.5 19.06%
Under 4.5 80.94%

First Half Winner

Inter Milan 59.45%
Draw 31.49%
Lecce 9.06%

Team To Score First

Inter Milan 75.74%
No Goal 7.89%
Lecce 16.37%

Corners

Over 8 58.02%
Equal 8 10.96%
Under 8 31.02%
Over 9 46.85%
Equal 9 11.18%
Under 9 41.98%
Over 10.5 36.33%
Under 10.5 63.67%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 1.5 61.82%
Under 1.5 38.18%
Over 2.5 35.34%
Under 2.5 64.66%
Over 3.5 16.68%
Under 3.5 83.32%

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5 32.78%
Under 0.5 67.22%
Over 1.5 7.53%
Under 1.5 92.47%
Over 2.5 0.99%
Under 2.5 99.01%
Over 3.5 0.1%
Under 3.5 99.9%

Score analysis

Inter Milan 75.34%
Draw 17.65%
Lecce 7.05%
Inter Milan
1-0 @ 16.12%
2-0 @ 15.61%
3-0 @ 10.97%
2-1 @ 8.55%
3-1 @ 5.66%
3-2 @ 1.76%
Other @ 16.67%
Total : 75.34%
Draw
0-0 @ 7.89%
1-1 @ 7.42%
2-2 @ 2.06%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 17.65%
Lecce
0-1 @ 3.62%
1-2 @ 1.84%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 7.05%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 22
Jan 26, 2025 5.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • goal Davide Frattesi 6'
  • yellowcard Stefan de Vrij 16'
  • yellowcard Simone Inzaghi 31'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 39'
  • goal Denzel Dumfries 57'
  • goal Mehdi Taremi 61'
  • yellowcard Mehdi Taremi 82'
Serie A Gameweek 2
Aug 24, 2024 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 8
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Matteo Darmian 5' goal
  • Jovo Lukic 20' yellowcard
  • Jovo Lukic 20' yellowcard
  • Jovo Lukic 20' yellowcard
  • Jovo Lukic 20' yellowcard
  • Jovo Lukic 20' yellowcard
  • Jovo Lukic 20' yellowcard
  • Jovo Lukic 20' yellowcard
  • Jovo Lukic 20' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Herrera Cardona 33' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Herrera Cardona 33' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Herrera Cardona 33' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Herrera Cardona 33' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Herrera Cardona 33' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Herrera Cardona 33' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Herrera Cardona 33' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Herrera Cardona 33' yellowcard
  • Enver Kulasin 61' yellowcard
  • Enver Kulasin 61' yellowcard
  • Enver Kulasin 61' yellowcard
  • Enver Kulasin 61' yellowcard
  • Enver Kulasin 61' yellowcard
  • Enver Kulasin 61' yellowcard
  • Enver Kulasin 61' yellowcard
  • Enver Kulasin 61' yellowcard
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 69' goal
  • Bart Meijers 73' yellowcard
  • Bart Meijers 73' yellowcard
  • Bart Meijers 73' yellowcard
  • Bart Meijers 73' yellowcard
  • Bart Meijers 73' yellowcard
  • Bart Meijers 73' yellowcard
  • Bart Meijers 73' yellowcard
  • Bart Meijers 73' yellowcard
  • Jurich Carolina 74' yellowcard
  • Jurich Carolina 74' yellowcard
  • Jurich Carolina 74' yellowcard
  • Jurich Carolina 74' yellowcard
  • Jurich Carolina 74' yellowcard
  • Jurich Carolina 74' yellowcard
  • Jurich Carolina 74' yellowcard
  • Jurich Carolina 74' yellowcard
  • goal Thomas Murg 25'
  • goal Thomas Murg 25'
  • goal Thomas Murg 25'
  • goal Thomas Murg 25'
  • goal Thomas Murg 25'
  • goal Thomas Murg 25'
  • goal Thomas Murg 25'
  • goal Thomas Murg 25'
  • yellowcard Antonino Gallo 31'
  • yellowcard Stefan Schwab 39'
  • yellowcard Stefan Schwab 39'
  • yellowcard Stefan Schwab 39'
  • yellowcard Stefan Schwab 39'
  • yellowcard Stefan Schwab 39'
  • yellowcard Stefan Schwab 39'
  • yellowcard Stefan Schwab 39'
  • yellowcard Stefan Schwab 39'
  • yellowcard Lameck Banda 60'
Serie A Gameweek 26
Feb 25, 2024 5.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Nicola Sansone 2' yellowcard
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 15'
  • yellowcard Kristjan Asllani 38'
  • goal Davide Frattesi 54'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 56'
  • yellowcard Henrikh Mkhitaryan 63'
  • goal Stefan de Vrij 67'
Serie A Gameweek 17
Dec 23, 2023 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Simone Inzaghi 16' yellowcard
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 30' yellowcard
  • Yann Aurel Bisseck 43' goal
  • Nicolo Barella 78' goal
  • yellowcard Joan Gonzalez 15'
  • yellowcard Roberto Piccoli 64'
  • yellowcard Marin Pongracic 74'
  • redcard Lameck Banda 83'
Serie A Gameweek 25
Mar 5, 2023 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 29' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 53' goal
Serie A Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Federico Baschirotto 32' yellowcard
  • Assan Ceesay 48' goal
  • Alexis Blin 82' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Colombo 87' yellowcard
  • Morten Hjulmand 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 2'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Brozovic 55'
  • yellowcard Matteo Darmian 63'
  • goal Denzel Dumfries 90'+4'