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Serie A | Gameweek 17
Dec 27, 2025 at 2pm UK
 

vs.

Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Group Stage clash between Lecce and Como.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Pisa
Friday, December 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Como
Monday, December 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Como win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Lecce has a probability of 34.28% and a draw has a probability of 27.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Lecce win is 1-0 (10.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.86%).

Result
LecceDrawComo
34.28% (0.103 0.1)27.12% (0.02 0.02)38.59% (-0.124 -0.12)
Both teams to score 50.36% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.01% (-0.073 -0.07)54.99% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.74% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)76.26% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.67% (0.028000000000006 0.03)30.33% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.49% (0.036000000000001 0.04)66.51% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.28% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)27.72% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.72% (-0.137 -0.14)63.28% (0.136 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 34.28%
    Como 38.59%
    Draw 27.11%
LecceDrawComo
1-0 @ 10.02% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.68% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.98% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.05% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.38% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 34.28%
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 8.41% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.11%
0-1 @ 10.78%
1-2 @ 8.26% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.92% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.53% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.96% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 38.59%

Head to Head
Apr 19, 2025 2pm
gameweek 33
Lecce
0-3
Como
Krstovic (7')
Coulibaly (21'), Krstovic (45+4'), Berisha (83')
Diao (33', 90+1'), Goldaniga (84')
Valle (42'), Ikone (45+4'), Goldaniga (55'), Perrone (73'), Engelhardt (90+4')
Dec 30, 2024 5.30pm
gameweek 18
Como
2-0
Lecce
Paz (49'), Cutrone (79')
Van Der Brempt (24'), Goldaniga (66'), Engelhardt (76')

Coulibaly (56'), Pierotti (66')
Aug 13, 2023 8pm
First Round
Lecce
1-0
Como
Almqvist (27')
Baschirotto (2'), Chinazaekpere Dorgu (86')

Cassandro (19'), Abildgaard (23')
Feb 5, 2022 1pm
gameweek 21
Como
1-1
Lecce
Cerri (4' pen.)
Ioannou (72')
Listkowski (13')
Calabresi (2'), Hjulmand (24'), Gallo (75')
Aug 29, 2021 7.30pm
gameweek 2
Lecce
1-1
Como
Coda (40' pen.)
Johann Helgason (5'), Di Mariano (70')
Cerri (42')
Scaglia (39'), Ioannou (55')