Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
Jan 31, 2026 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Volksparkstadion
Bayern
  • Fábio Vieira 34' yellowcard
  • Luka Vuskovic 53' goal
  • Giorgi Gocholeishvili 59' yellowcard
  • Rayan Philippe 73' yellowcard
  • Warmed Omari 73' yellowcard
  • Robert Glatzel 85' yellowcard
  • Immanuel Pherai 85' yellowcard
  • goal Harry Kane 42'
  • goal Luis Díaz 46'
  • yellowcard Luis Díaz 46'
  • yellowcard Jamal Musiala 65'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Tah 65'

Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamburger SV

All competitions
Last game
Jan 23, 2026 7.30pm
St Pauli 0 - 0 Hamburger SV
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Fabio Vieira

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 2.30pm
Bayern 1 - 2 Augsburg
Goals scored
92
Top scorer
Harry Kane

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 63.04%. A draw had a probability of 19.95% and a win for Hamburger SV had a probability of 17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.84%) and 0-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%) , while for a Hamburger SV win it was 1-0 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result

Hamburger SV 17% ▲ (+0.33)
Draw 19.95% ▼ (-0.29)
Bayern Munich 63.04% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.41% ▲ (+0.92)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.3% ▲ (+0.88)
Under 1.5 18.7% ▼ (-0.88)
Over 2.5 60.11% ▲ (+0.97)
Under 2.5 39.86% ▼ (-1.00)
Over 3.5 38.23% ▲ (+0.98)
Under 3.5 61.77% ▼ (-0.98)
Over 4.5 25.73% ▲ (+0.79)
Under 4.5 74.27% ▼ (-0.80)

First Half Winner

Hamburger SV 17% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 30.89% ▼ (-0.38)
Bayern Munich 52.11% ▲ (+0.36)

Team To Score First

Hamburger SV 30.03% ▲ (+0.13)
No Goal 4.98% ▼ (-0.33)
Bayern Munich 64.99% ▲ (+0.21)

Corners

Over 8 63.7% ▼ (-0.49)
Equal 8 10.47% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 25.83% ▲ (+0.51)
Over 9 52.52% ▼ (-0.43)
Equal 9 11.18% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 9 36.3% ▲ (+0.49)
Over 10.5 41.55% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 10.5 58.45% ▲ (+0.34)

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 1.5 22.52% ▲ (+0.72)
Under 1.5 77.48% ▼ (-0.71)
Over 2.5 7.18% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 2.5 92.82% ▼ (-0.37)
Over 3.5 1.81% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 98.19% ▼ (-0.15)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 85.7% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 0.5 14.3% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 1.5 61.64% ▲ (+0.64)
Under 1.5 38.36% ▼ (-0.64)
Over 2.5 35.6% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 2.5 64.4% ▼ (-0.45)
Over 3.5 16.89% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 3.5 83.11% ▼ (-0.47)

Score analysis

Hamburger SV 17.02%
Draw 19.96%
Bayern Munich 63.04%
Hamburger SV
1-0 @ 4.62% ▼ (-0.09)
2-1 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.12)
Total : 17.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.96% ▼ (-0.10)
0-0 @ 4.98% ▼ (-0.33)
2-2 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.15)
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.15% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 19.96%
Bayern Munich
1-2 @ 10.01%
0-2 @ 9.84% ▼ (-0.07)
0-1 @ 9.12% ▼ (-0.42)
0-3 @ 6.82% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 6.41%
2-3 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 16.74% ▲ (+0.45)
Total : 63.04%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Bayern
Sep 13, 2025 5.30pm
5
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Hamburger SV
Bundesliga
Bayern
Mar 10, 2018 2.30pm
6
0
HT : 3 0
FT Allianz Arena (München)
Hamburger SV
  • Arturo Vidal 4' yellowcard
  • Franck Ribery 8' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 12' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 19' goal
  • Arjen Robben 55' goal
  • Franck Ribery 81' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 89' goal
  • yellowcard Rick van Drongelen 28'
  • yellowcard Douglas Santos 75'
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
Oct 21, 2017 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Volksparkstadion (Hamburg)
Bayern
  • Gideon Jung 38' redcard
  • Gotoku Sakai 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Rodriguez 45'
  • goal Corentin Tolisso 52'
  • yellowcard Corentin Tolisso 75'
Bundesliga
Bayern
Feb 25, 2017 2.30pm
8
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Hamburger SV
  • Arturo Vidal 17' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 24' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 42' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 54' goal
  • David Alaba 56' goal
  • Kingsley Coman 65' goal
  • Kingsley Coman 69' goal
  • Arjen Robben 87' goal
  • yellowcard Douglas Santos 37'
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
Sep 24, 2016 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Bayern
  • Douglas Santos 70' yellowcard
  • Michael Gregoritsch 92' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Javi Martinez 65'
  • yellowcard Franck Ribery 73'
  • yellowcard Joshua Kimmich 83'
  • goal Joshua Kimmich 88'
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
Jan 22, 2016 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Bayern
  • Matthias Ostrzolek 20' yellowcard
  • Gojko Kacar 32' yellowcard
  • Rene Adler 36' yellowcard
  • Nicolai Muller 42' yellowcard
  • Xabi Alonso 53' goal
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 37'
  • yellowcard Philipp Lahm 45'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 61'
  • yellowcard Xabi Alonso 82'

Form Data

St Pauli 0 - 0 Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV 0 - 0 Borussia M'bach
Freiburg 0 - 0 Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV 1 - 1 Frankfurt
Hoffenheim 4 - 1 Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV 3 - 2 Werder Bremen
PSV 1 - 2 Bayern
Bayern 1 - 2 Augsburg
Bayern 2 - 0 Union SG
RB Leipzig 1 - 5 Bayern
FC Koln 1 - 3 Bayern
Bayern 8 - 1 Wolfsburg