Champions League
Jan 28, 2026 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Philips Stadion
  • Noah Fernandez 46' yellowcard
  • Ismael Saibari 78' goal
  • Couhaib Driouech 82' yellowcard
  • goal Jamal Musiala 58'
  • yellowcard Serge Gnabry 62'
  • yellowcard Alphonso Davies 62'
  • yellowcard Michael Olise 62'
  • yellowcard Harry Kane 62'
  • yellowcard Michael Olise 63'
  • yellowcard 63'
  • goal Harry Kane 84'
  • yellowcard Sacha Boey 85'

PSV Eindhoven vs Bayern Munich - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 21, 2026 8.00pm
Newcastle 3 - 0 PSV

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 21, 2026 8.00pm
Bayern 2 - 0 Union SG

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (5.89%) and 0-1 (5.49%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 (5.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result

PSV Eindhoven 30.5% (-0.11)
Draw 21.9% (+0.05)
Bayern Munich 47.64% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.53% (-0.24)

Goals

Over 1.5 86.27% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 13.73% (+0.14)
Over 2.5 70.2% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 29.76% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 46.45% (-0.16)
Under 3.5 53.55% (+0.16)
Over 4.5 33.32% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 66.68% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

PSV Eindhoven 33.88% (-0.02)
Draw 28.82% (-0.02)
Bayern Munich 37.3% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

PSV Eindhoven 50.41% (-0.07)
No Goal 4% (+0.09)
Bayern Munich 45.59% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 63.51% (-0.02)
Equal 8 8.28%
Under 8 28.21%
Over 9 54.54%
Equal 9 8.98%
Under 9 36.49% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 45.44%
Under 10.5 54.56%

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 1.5 39.81% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 60.19% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 22.53% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 77.47% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 10.45% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 89.55% (+0.01)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 77.2%
Under 0.5 22.8%
Over 1.5 54.95% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 45.05% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 29.67% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 70.33% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 14.21% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 85.79% (+0.06)

Score analysis

PSV Eindhoven 30.5%
Draw 21.9%
Bayern Munich 47.65%
PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 5.63% (-0.08)
1-0 @ 4.29%
3-1 @ 3.19% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.88%
3-2 @ 2.83% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 2.22% (-0.01)
Other @ 9.46% (-0.02)
Total : 30.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.94% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 3.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.99% (+0.02)
Total : 21.9%
Bayern Munich
1-2 @ 10.77% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.89% (+0.07)
0-1 @ 5.49% (+0.11)
0-3 @ 4.48% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.16% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.64% (-0.03)
Other @ 13.22% (-0.06)
Total : 47.65%

Head to Head

Champions League
Nov 1, 2016 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Santiago Arias 14' goal
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 34'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 74'
  • yellowcard Kingsley Coman 90'
Champions League
Oct 19, 2016 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Thomas Muller 13' goal
  • Joshua Kimmich 21' goal
  • Philipp Lahm 57' yellowcard
  • Robert Lewandowski 59' goal
  • Arjen Robben 84' goal
  • goal Luciano Narsingh 41'