Champions League Gameweek 8
Jan 28, 2026 8.00pm
Philips Stadion

PSV Eindhoven vs Bayern Munich - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 21, 2026 8.00pm
Newcastle 3 - 0 PSV

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 21, 2026 8.00pm
Bayern 2 - 0 Union SG

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 48.14%. A win for PSV Eindhoven has a probability of 30.73% and a draw has a probability of 21.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win is 1-2 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (5.95%) and 0-1 (5.57%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win is 2-1 (5.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (7.81%).

Result

PSV Eindhoven 30.73% (+0.08)
Draw 21.16% (+0.04)
Bayern Munich 48.14% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.63% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 86.31% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 13.69% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 70.29%
Under 2.5 29.71%
Over 3.5 46.47%
Under 3.5 53.53%
Over 4.5 33.33%
Under 4.5 66.67%

First Half Winner

PSV Eindhoven 33.87%
Draw 28.81%
Bayern Munich 37.33%

Team To Score First

PSV Eindhoven 50.62%
No Goal 3.82% (+0.01)
Bayern Munich 45.56% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 63.3%
Equal 8 8.3%
Under 8 28.4%
Over 9 54.32%
Equal 9 8.99%
Under 9 36.7%
Over 10.5 45.22%
Under 10.5 54.78%

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 1.5 39.66% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 60.34% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 22.36% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 77.64% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 10.32%
Under 3.5 89.68%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 77.27% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 22.73% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 54.97% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 45.03% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 29.77% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 70.23% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 14.17%
Under 3.5 85.83%

Score analysis

PSV Eindhoven 30.72%
Draw 21.16%
Bayern Munich 48.15%
PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 5.67% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 4.33% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.25% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.86%
3-2 @ 2.86%
2-0 @ 2.26% (+0.02)
Other @ 9.49%
Total : 30.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.81% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.63% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.82% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 3.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 21.16%
Bayern Munich
1-2 @ 10.76%
0-2 @ 5.95% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.57% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 4.53% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.26% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.74% (-0.01)
Other @ 13.34%
Total : 48.15%

Head to Head

Champions League
Nov 1, 2016 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Santiago Arias 14' goal
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 34'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 74'
  • yellowcard Kingsley Coman 90'
Champions League
Oct 19, 2016 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Thomas Muller 13' goal
  • Joshua Kimmich 21' goal
  • Philipp Lahm 57' yellowcard
  • Robert Lewandowski 59' goal
  • Arjen Robben 84' goal
  • goal Luciano Narsingh 41'