Eredivisie Gameweek 20
Jan 24, 2026 7.00pm
Philips Stadion

PSV Eindhoven vs NAC Breda - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 7.00pm
Sittard 1 - 2 PSV
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Ricardo Pepi

NAC Breda

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 8.00pm
NAC Breda 3 - 4 Nijmegen
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Moussa Soumano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 73.59%. A draw has a probability of 16.19% and a win for NAC Breda has a probability of 10.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win is 2-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.78%) , while for a NAC Breda win it is 0-1 (3.5%).

Result

PSV Eindhoven 73.59% (+0.19)
Draw 16.19% (-0.10)
NAC Breda 10.2% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.6% (-0.31)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.03% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 17.97% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 63.9% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 36.1% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 45.08% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 54.92% (-0.09)
Over 4.5 34.26% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 65.74% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

PSV Eindhoven 61.85% (+0.22)
Draw 24.99% (-0.24)
NAC Breda 13.16% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

PSV Eindhoven 70.36% (+0.18)
No Goal 4.97% (-0.07)
NAC Breda 24.67% (-0.12)

Corners

Over 8 67% (+0.05)
Equal 8 9.5%
Under 8 23.5% (-0.04)
Over 9 56.6% (+0.04)
Equal 9 10.4%
Under 9 33% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 46.08% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 53.92% (-0.04)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 1.5 69.72% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 30.28% (-0.21)
Over 2.5 46.85% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 53.15% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 28.05% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 71.95% (-0.10)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5 39.67% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 60.33% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 14.37% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 85.63% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 4.08% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 95.92% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.08% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.92% (+0.02)

Score analysis

PSV Eindhoven 73.6%
Draw 16.19%
NAC Breda 10.21%
PSV Eindhoven
2-0 @ 9.99% (+0.06)
1-0 @ 9.5% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 8.35% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 8% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.67% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.01)
Other @ 27.87% (+0.11)
Total : 73.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.78%
0-0 @ 4.97% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 3.35% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.18% (-0.02)
Total : 16.19%
NAC Breda
0-1 @ 3.5% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 2.38% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.34%
2-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 10.21%

Head to Head

Eredivisie
Nov 22, 2025 3.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 20
Jan 25, 2025 5.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Philips Stadion
  • Guus Til 35' goal
  • Guus Til 45'+1' goal
  • Ivan Perisic 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Pepi 90'+4' goal
  • goal 6'
  • goal Leo Sauer 26'
  • yellowcard Boy Kemper 89'
  • goal Kacper Kostorz 90'+6'
Eredivisie Gameweek 12
Nov 9, 2024 7.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion
  • Boyd Lucassen 5' yellowcard
  • Boy Kemper 32' yellowcard
  • goal Ricardo Pepi 21'
  • goal Ismael Saibari 33'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Pepi 34'
  • yellowcard Johan Bakayoko 35'
  • goal Johan Bakayoko 65'
KNVB Beker
Feb 8, 2022 6.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Philips Stadion
  • Noni Madueke 8' goal
  • Mario Gotze 28' goal
  • Phillipp Mwene 31' yellowcard
  • Mario Gotze 40' goal
  • Cody Gakpo 79' goal
  • yellowcard Sabir Agougil 6'
Eredivisie Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2019 6.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Philips Stadion (Eindhoven)
  • Luuk de Jong 5' goal
  • Angelino 15' yellowcard
  • Donyell Malen 71' goal
  • Donyell Malen 85' yellowcard
Eredivisie Gameweek 7
Sep 29, 2018 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion (Breda)
  • Mitchell te Vrede 17' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Nijholt 51' yellowcard
  • Mikhail Rosheuvel 52' yellowcard
  • goal Luuk de Jong 47'
  • yellowcard Luuk de Jong 51'
  • yellowcard Pablo Rosario 58'
  • yellowcard Hirving Lozano 75'
  • yellowcard Jeroen Zoet 91'
  • goal Donyell Malen 92'