Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 74.18%. A draw had a probability of 15.91% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 9.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.75%) , while for a NAC Breda win it was 0-1 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.