Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-0 (7.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%).