Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 53.48%. A draw had a probability of 24.81% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 21.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%) , while for a NAC Breda win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.