Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Sparta
Dec 7, 2025 3.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
NAC Breda
  • Shunsuke Mito 26' goal
  • Julian Baas 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brahim Ghalidi 90'+4'

Sparta Rotterdam vs NAC Breda - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions
Last game
Nov 29, 2025 8.00pm
Nijmegen 3 - 1 Sparta
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Shunsuke Mito

NAC Breda

All competitions
Last game
Nov 29, 2025 3.30pm
Excelsior 1 - 0 NAC Breda
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Moussa Soumano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 24.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (8.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result

Sparta Rotterdam 40.63%
Draw 24.37%
NAC Breda 35%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.79%

Goals

Over 2.5 57.07%
Under 2.5 42.92%
Over 3.5 34.67%
Under 3.5 65.33%
Over 4.5 18.02%
Under 4.5 81.98%

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5 78.78%
Under 0.5 21.22%
Over 1.5 45.89%
Under 1.5 54.11%

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5 75.89%
Under 0.5 24.11%
Over 1.5 41.6%
Under 1.5 58.4%

Score analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 40.63%
Draw 24.37%
NAC Breda 35%
Sparta Rotterdam
2-1 @ 8.75%
1-0 @ 7.93%
2-0 @ 6.15%
3-1 @ 4.52%
3-2 @ 3.22%
3-0 @ 3.18%
4-1 @ 1.75%
4-2 @ 1.25%
4-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 40.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.28%
2-2 @ 6.22%
0-0 @ 5.11%
3-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.37%
NAC Breda
1-2 @ 8.03%
0-1 @ 7.28%
0-2 @ 5.18%
1-3 @ 3.81%
2-3 @ 2.95%
0-3 @ 2.46%
1-4 @ 1.35%
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 35%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 25
NAC Breda
Mar 7, 2025 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion
Sparta
  • Leo Sauer 63' goal
  • Leo Greiml 73' redcard
  • goal Carel Eiting 12'
  • yellowcard Tobias Lauritsen 67'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Nassoh 80'
Eredivisie Gameweek 15
Sparta
Dec 7, 2024 5.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
NAC Breda
  • Camiel Neghli 24' yellowcard
  • Boyd Reith 68' yellowcard
  • Arno Verschueren 74' yellowcard
  • goal Jan Van den Bergh 45'+4'
  • goal Boy Kemper 75'
  • yellowcard Boyd Lucassen 89'
Club Friendlies 3
Sparta
Aug 3, 2024 12.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
NAC Breda
  • Mohamed Nassoh 50' goal
  • Djevencio van der Kust 81' yellowcard
  • Julian Baas 89' goal
  • goal Casper Staring 20'
Eredivisie
Sparta
Apr 18, 2018 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel (Rotterdam)
NAC Breda
  • Paco van Moorsel 59' yellowcard
  • Deroy Duarte 61' goal
  • Stijn Spierings 85' goal
  • Sander Fischer 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gianluca Nijholt 53'
  • goal Sadiq Umar 73'
  • yellowcard Rai Vloet 88'
Eredivisie
NAC Breda
Aug 25, 2017 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Sparta
  • Manu Garcia 26' yellowcard
  • Pablo Mari 42' goal
  • Rai Vloet 51' goal
  • Mounir El Allouchi 61' yellowcard
  • Thomas Agyepong 91' yellowcard
  • Karol Mets 93' yellowcard
  • yellowcard George Dobson 67'
  • goal Ragnar Ache 70'
  • goal Ragnar Ache 84'
  • yellowcard Stijn Spierings 87'

Form Data

Nijmegen 3 - 1 Sparta
Sparta 1 - 1 Sittard
PEC Zwolle 1 - 0 Sparta
Sparta 0 - 1 AZ
Sparta 5 - 2 Groningen
Sparta 1 - 0 Telstar
Excelsior 1 - 0 NAC Breda
NAC Breda 0 - 1 PSV
Volendam 2 - 1 NAC Breda
NAC Breda 1 - 0 Go Ahead Eagles
NAC Breda 1 - 4 Heracles
Heerenveen 3 - 3 NAC Breda