Champions League Gameweek 7
Jan 21, 2026 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Arena
  • Harry Kane 52' goal
  • Harry Kane 55' yellowcard
  • Hiroki Ito 67' yellowcard
  • 67' yellowcard
  • 67' yellowcard
  • Alphonso Davies 67' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane 81' yellowcard
  • Serge Gnabry 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Leon Goretzka 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Raul Florucz 67'
  • yellowcard Mohammed Fuseini 67'
  • yellowcard Louis Patris 67'
  • yellowcard Fedde Leysen 67'
  • yellowcard 67'
  • yellowcard 67'
  • yellowcard Promise Akinpelu 82'
  • yellowcard Rob Schoofs 82'
  • yellowcard Adem Zorgane 82'
  • yellowcard Sekou Abrahame Keita 82'

Bayern Munich vs Union SG - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Dec 9, 2025 5.45pm
Bayern 3 - 1 Sporting Lisbon

Union SG

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Dec 9, 2025 8.00pm
Union SG 2 - 3 Marseille

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 64.91%. A draw had a probability of 20.46% and a win for Union SG had a probability of 14.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%) , while for a Union SG win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result

Bayern Munich 64.91% (-0.08)
Draw 20.46% (-0.02)
Union SG 14.62% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.92% (+0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.73% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 21.27% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 57.9% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 42.1% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 36.39% (-0.36)
Under 3.5 63.61% (+0.36)
Over 4.5 24.92% (-0.27)
Under 4.5 75.08% (+0.27)

First Half Winner

Bayern Munich 56.3% (+0.06)
Draw 28.89% (-0.49)
Union SG 14.82% (+0.46)

Team To Score First

Bayern Munich 63.67% (-0.79)
No Goal 6.4%
Union SG 29.93% (+0.79)

Corners

Over 8 63.62% (+0.02)
Equal 8 9.99% (+0.01)
Under 8 26.39% (-0.04)
Over 9 52.98% (+0.01)
Equal 9 10.64% (+0.01)
Under 9 36.38% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 42.5%
Under 10.5 57.5%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 1.5 60.99% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 39.01% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 36.85% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 63.15% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 18.34% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 81.66% (+0.13)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5 46.38% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 53.62% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 18.61% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 81.39% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 5.65% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 94.35% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 1.48% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 98.52% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Bayern Munich 64.91%
Draw 20.47%
Union SG 14.62%
Bayern Munich
1-0 @ 10.58% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 10.24% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 8.52% (+0.14)
3-0 @ 8.29% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 6.22% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.03)
Other @ 18.11% (-0.11)
Total : 64.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.74% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.4%
2-2 @ 4.05% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.23% (-0.02)
Total : 20.47%
Union SG
0-1 @ 4.29%
1-2 @ 4.1% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 1.86% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.19% (-0.06)
Other @ 1.25% (-0.06)
Total : 14.62%