Champions League Gameweek 7
Jan 21, 2026 8.00pm
Allianz Arena

Bayern Munich vs Union SG - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Dec 9, 2025 5.45pm
Bayern 3 - 1 Sporting Lisbon

Union SG

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Dec 9, 2025 8.00pm
Union SG 2 - 3 Marseille

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 64.52%. A draw has a probability of 20.91% and a win for Union SG has a probability of 14.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.04%) , while for a Union SG win it is 0-1 (4.52%).

Result

Bayern Munich 64.52% (-0.08)
Draw 20.91% (+0.04)
Union SG 14.57% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.38% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.49% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 21.51% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 57.13% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 42.87% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 37.94% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 62.06% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 25.8% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 74.2% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Bayern Munich 53.37% (-0.02)
Draw 32.64% (-0.04)
Union SG 13.99% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Bayern Munich 66.67% (-0.02)
No Goal 6.54% (+0.03)
Union SG 26.79% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 59.01% (+0.13)
Equal 8 10.48% (-0.01)
Under 8 30.51% (-0.12)
Over 9 48.21% (+0.11)
Equal 9 10.8% (+0.02)
Under 9 41% (-0.12)
Over 10.5 37.94% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 62.06% (-0.11)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 1.5 61.11% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 38.89% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 37.02% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 62.98% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 18.25% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 81.75% (+0.02)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5 47.04% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 52.96% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 18.67% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 81.33% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 5.94% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 94.06% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.67% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.33% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Bayern Munich 64.52%
Draw 20.9%
Union SG 14.58%
Bayern Munich
1-0 @ 10.45%
2-0 @ 10.27%
2-1 @ 8.11% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.68% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.7% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.01)
Other @ 18.02% (-0.02)
Total : 64.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.04% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.54% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.99% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 20.9%
Union SG
0-1 @ 4.52% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 3.39% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.06% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.72% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.44% (+0.02)
Total : 14.58%