Belgian Pro League Gameweek 21
Jan 17, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Joseph Mariën
  • Promise Akinpelu 35' goal
  • Promise David 35' goal
  • Mathias Rasmussen 57' yellowcard
  • Fedde Leysen 57' yellowcard
  • Kevin Rodriguez 70' yellowcard
  • Mohammed Fuseini 70' yellowcard
  • Raul Florucz 70' yellowcard
  • 70' yellowcard
  • Kevin Rodríguez 70' yellowcard
  • 87' yellowcard
  • Mateo Biondic 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jose Marsa 46'
  • yellowcard José Marsà 46'
  • yellowcard 70'
  • yellowcard Bill Antonio 70'
  • yellowcard Keano Vanrafelghem 78'
  • yellowcard Hassane Bande 78'
  • yellowcard H. Bandé 78'

Union SG vs Mechelen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Union SG

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
Cercle Brugge 1 - 1 Union SG
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Promise Akinpelu

Mechelen

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Dec 27, 2025 5.15pm
Mechelen 1 - 1 Dender
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Kerim Mrabti

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 59.75%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 20.13% and a draw had a probability of 20.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-2 (5.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result

Union SG 59.75% (-0.04)
Draw 20.12%
Mechelen 20.13%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.98%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.51% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 17.49% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 61.61% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 38.35% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 38.77% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 61.23% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 24.52% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 75.48% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Union SG 49.16%
Draw 34.37%
Mechelen 16.48%

Team To Score First

Union SG 65.69%
No Goal 3.94%
Mechelen 30.37%

Corners

Over 8 59.45%
Equal 8 11.08%
Under 8 29.47%
Over 9 48.02%
Equal 9 11.44%
Under 9 40.55%
Over 10.5 37.16%
Under 10.5 62.84%

Union SG Goals

Over 1.5 59.65% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 40.35% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 32.69% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 67.31% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 14.57%
Under 3.5 85.43%

Mechelen Goals

Over 0.5 57.62%
Under 0.5 42.38%
Over 1.5 26.34%
Under 1.5 73.66%
Over 2.5 9.22%
Under 2.5 90.78%
Over 3.5 2.79%
Under 3.5 97.21%

Score analysis

Union SG 59.74%
Draw 20.13%
Mechelen 20.14%
Union SG
2-1 @ 10.56%
1-0 @ 9.01% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.01% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.86%
3-0 @ 6% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.87% (-0.01)
Other @ 14.43%
Total : 59.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.31%
2-2 @ 5.35%
0-0 @ 3.94%
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.13%
Mechelen
1-2 @ 5.34% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.55%
0-2 @ 2.56%
1-3 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 2.04%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 20.14%

Head to Head

Belgian Pro League
Nov 9, 2025 6.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 26
Feb 16, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Joseph Marien (Bruxelles (Brussels))
  • Promise Akinpelu 50' yellowcard
  • Sofiane Boufal 80' yellowcard
  • Ross Sykes 86' yellowcard
  • Noah Sadiki 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Benito Raman 42'
  • yellowcard Ahmed Touba 43'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 13
Nov 2, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne
  • Ahmed Touba 42' yellowcard
  • Jose Marsa 46' yellowcard
  • Kerim Mrabti 88' yellowcard
  • Ahmed Touba 90'+3' goal
  • Besnik Hasi 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Promise Akinpelu 20'
  • yellowcard Ousseynou Niang 25'
  • yellowcard Jean Thierry Lazare 33'
  • yellowcard Christian Burgess 77'
  • yellowcard Kamiel Van de Perre 90'
  • yellowcard Anthony Moris 90'+2'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 18
Dec 17, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Joseph Marien
  • Mohamed El Amine Amoura 54' goal
  • Gustaf Nilsson 74' yellowcard
  • Loic Lapoussin 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bilal Bafdili 90'+3'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne
  • Kerim Mrabti 38' goal
  • Geoffry Hairemans 78' goal
  • Rafik Belghali 89' goal
  • David Bates 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Jean Thierry Lazare 83'
  • yellowcard Cameron Puertas 90'+4'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 30
Mar 19, 2023 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Joseph Mariën
  • Loic Lapoussin 10' goal
  • Teddy Teuma 56' goal
  • goal Julien Ngoy 4'