Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Servette had a probability of 37.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.68%) and 2-0 (5.36%). The likeliest Servette win was 1-2 (8.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.