Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 1-0 (7.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.