Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-0 (8.48%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.