Bundesliga Gameweek 23
Feb 21, 2026 2.30pm
Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 2.30pm
Hamburger SV 3 - 2 Union Berlin
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Rani Khedira

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen 4 - 0 St Pauli
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Martin Terrier

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Union Berlin has a probability of 27.23% and a draw has a probability of 26.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Union Berlin win is 1-0 (8.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.35%).

Result

Union Berlin 27.23% (-0.18)
Draw 26.39% (+0.04)
Bayer Leverkusen 46.42% (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.51% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.16% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 27.84% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 47.34% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 52.66% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 25.84% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 74.16% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 13.76% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 86.24% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Union Berlin 22.83% (-0.06)
Draw 39.56% (-0.05)
Bayer Leverkusen 37.62% (+0.12)

Team To Score First

Union Berlin 36.82% (-0.25)
No Goal 8.09% (-0.01)
Bayer Leverkusen 55.09% (+0.27)

Corners

Over 8 54.73% (-0.18)
Equal 8 12.08% (+0.05)
Under 8 33.19% (+0.13)
Over 9 42.71% (-0.20)
Equal 9 12.02% (+0.03)
Under 9 45.27% (+0.18)
Over 10.5 31.77% (-0.22)
Under 10.5 68.23% (+0.22)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 1.5 27.25% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 72.75% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 8.93% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 91.07% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 2.32% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 97.68% (+0.05)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 75.28% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 24.72% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 42.82% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 57.18% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 18.67% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 81.33% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 6.33% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 93.67% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Union Berlin 27.23%
Draw 26.39%
Bayer Leverkusen 46.4%
Union Berlin
1-0 @ 8.49% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 6.43% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 4.32% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.4% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.59% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.25% (-0.05)
Total : 27.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.35% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 8.09% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 26.39%
Bayer Leverkusen
0-1 @ 11.28% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 9.23% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 8.16% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.67% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 4.24% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.56%
Other @ 6.26% (+0.05)
Total : 46.4%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Oct 4, 2025 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga Gameweek 29
Apr 12, 2025 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT BayArena
  • Florian Wirtz 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Jonas Hofmann 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Preu 83'
Bundesliga Gameweek 12
Nov 30, 2024 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
  • Tom Rothe 28' yellowcard
  • Jeong Woo-yeong 29' goal
  • Leopold Querfeld 63' yellowcard
  • Christopher Trimmel 67' yellowcard
  • Nordi Mukiele 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Jeremie Frimpong 2'
  • yellowcard Robert Andrich 21'
  • goal Patrik Schick 71'
  • yellowcard Robert Skov 90'+3'
Bundesliga Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2024 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
  • Robin Gosens 9' yellowcard
  • Lucas Tousart 37' yellowcard
  • Robin Gosens 45'+3' redcard
  • goal Florian Wirtz 45'+8'
  • yellowcard Amine Adli 64'
  • yellowcard Robert Andrich 82'
Bundesliga Gameweek 11
Nov 12, 2023 2.30pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT BayArena
  • Alex Grimaldo 23' goal
  • Kossonou Odilon 57' goal
  • Jonathan Tah 73' goal
  • Nathan Tella 83' goal
  • yellowcard Frederik Ronnow 74'
Bundesliga Gameweek 30
Apr 29, 2023 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT