Bundesliga
Hoffenheim
Jan 31, 2026 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT PreZero Arena
Union Berlin
  • Andrej Kramaric 42' yellowcard
  • Andrej Kramaric 45' goal
  • Max Moerstedt 46' yellowcard
  • Diogo Leite 47' goal
  • Ihlas Bebou 78' yellowcard
  • Alexander Prass 83' yellowcard
  • Kevin Akpoguma 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Derrick Köhn 54'
  • yellowcard Ilyas Ansah 54'
  • yellowcard András Schäfer 54'
  • goal Rani Khedira 68'
  • yellowcard Livan Burcu 75'
  • yellowcard Alex Král 83'

Hoffenheim vs Union Berlin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last game
Jan 27, 2026 7.30pm
Werder Bremen 0 - 2 Hoffenheim
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Andrej Kramaric

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 5.30pm
Union Berlin 0 - 3 Dortmund
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Rani Khedira

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 24.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-2 (7.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result

Hoffenheim 42.87% ▼ (-0.25)
Draw 24.16% ▲ (+0.24)
Union Berlin 33% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.9% ▼ (-0.33)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.92% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 1.5 19.08% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 2.5 58.97% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 2.5 41.03% ▲ (+0.47)
Over 3.5 36.73% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 3.5 63.27% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 4.5 21.97% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 4.5 78.03% ▲ (+0.41)

First Half Winner

Hoffenheim 33.63% ▼ (-0.09)
Draw 36.92% ▲ (+0.29)
Union Berlin 29.45% ▼ (-0.20)

Team To Score First

Hoffenheim 48.81% ▲ (+0.18)
No Goal 4.87% ▲ (+0.13)
Union Berlin 46.32% ▼ (-0.30)

Corners

Over 8 57.6% ▲ (+0.21)
Equal 8 10.89%
Under 8 31.52% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 9 46.51% ▲ (+0.18)
Equal 9 11.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 42.4% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 10.5 36.11% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 10.5 63.89% ▼ (-0.16)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 1.5 46.38% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 1.5 53.62% ▲ (+0.41)
Over 2.5 22.17% ▼ (-0.37)
Under 2.5 77.83% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 3.5 8.54% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 3.5 91.46% ▲ (+0.25)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5 69.24% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 30.76% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 38.16% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 61.84% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 2.5 16.09% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 2.5 83.91% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 3.5 5.69% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 94.31% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Hoffenheim 42.88%
Draw 24.16%
Union Berlin 33%
Hoffenheim
2-1 @ 8.64% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 7.7% ▲ (+0.13)
2-0 @ 6.36% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.91% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 8.27% ▼ (-0.26)
Total : 42.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.98% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 6.32% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.87% ▲ (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.16%
Union Berlin
1-2 @ 7.75% ▲ (+0.04)
0-1 @ 6.55% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 33%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Union Berlin
Sep 13, 2025 2.30pm
2
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Hoffenheim
Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Hoffenheim
Feb 8, 2025 2.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT DnB NOR Arena
Union Berlin
  • Marius Bulter 2' yellowcard
  • Dennis Geiger 36' yellowcard
  • goal Benedict Hollerbach 24'
  • goal Marin Ljubicic 61'
  • goal Andrej Ilic 73'
  • goal Benedict Hollerbach 87'
  • yellowcard Christopher Trimmel 90'
Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Union Berlin
Sep 21, 2024 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Hoffenheim
  • Tom Rothe 4' goal
  • Jeong Woo-yeong 6' goal
  • Theoson Siebatcheu 23' yellowcard
  • Yorbe Vertessen 85' yellowcard
  • Tom Rothe 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pavel Kaderabek 50'
  • goal Marius Bulter 67'
  • yellowcard Tom Bischof 79'
  • yellowcard Umut Tohumcu 89'
Bundesliga Gameweek 22
Hoffenheim
Feb 17, 2024 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT PreZero Arena
Union Berlin
  • Stanley Nsoki 45' yellowcard
  • Stanley Nsoki 45'+4' redcard
  • Pavel Kaderabek 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Volland 45'
  • redcard Kevin Volland 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Danilho Doekhi 45'+9'
  • goal Brenden Aaronson 84'
  • yellowcard Diogo Leite 89'
Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Union Berlin
Sep 23, 2023 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Hoffenheim
  • Lucas Tousart 72' yellowcard
  • goal Andrej Kramaric 22'
  • goal Maximilian Beier 38'
  • yellowcard Andrej Kramaric 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Anton Stach 54'
  • yellowcard Finn Ole Becker 89'
Bundesliga Gameweek 33
Hoffenheim
May 20, 2023 2.30pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT
Union Berlin
  • Ihlas Bebou 22' goal
  • Andrej Kramaric 36' goal
  • Andrej Kramaric 90' goal
  • Moanes Dabour 90'+9' goal
  • goal Danilho Doekhi 45'+4'
  • goal Aissa Laidouni 90'+5'

Form Data

Werder Bremen 0 - 2 Hoffenheim
Frankfurt 1 - 3 Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim 1 - 0 B. Leverkusen
Hoffenheim 5 - 1 Borussia M'bach
Hoffenheim 0 - 0 Heerenveen
Stuttgart 0 - 0 Hoffenheim
Union Berlin 0 - 3 Dortmund
Stuttgart 1 - 1 Union Berlin
Augsburg 1 - 1 Union Berlin
Union Berlin 0 - 0 Mainz
Erzgebirge Aue 1 - 2 Union Berlin
FC Koln 0 - 1 Union Berlin