Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-0 (7.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.