Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (5.47%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.