Bundesliga Gameweek 22
Feb 14, 2026 2.30pm
Volksparkstadion

Hamburger SV vs Union Berlin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamburger SV

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 2.30pm
Heidenheim 0 - 2 Hamburger SV
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Albert Sambi Lokonga

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Feb 6, 2026 7.30pm
Union Berlin 1 - 1 Frankfurt
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Rani Khedira

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Union Berlin has a probability of 33.12% and a draw has a probability of 24.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Union Berlin win is 0-1 (7.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.83%).

Result

Hamburger SV 41.96% (-0.04)
Draw 24.89%
Union Berlin 33.12%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.44%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.84% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 24.16% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 52.09% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 47.91% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 30.45%
Under 3.5 69.55%
Over 4.5 17.38% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 82.62% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Hamburger SV 30.08%
Draw 38.63%
Union Berlin 31.29%

Team To Score First

Hamburger SV 44.96%
No Goal 6.4%
Union Berlin 48.64%

Corners

Over 8 58.51%
Equal 8 11.17%
Under 8 30.32%
Over 9 47.07%
Equal 9 11.44%
Under 9 41.49%
Over 10.5 36.29%
Under 10.5 63.71%

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 1.5 41.4% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 58.6% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 17.96% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 82.04% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 5.89% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.11% (+0.02)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5 67.7% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 32.3% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 34.99% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 65.01% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 13.94%
Under 2.5 86.06%
Over 3.5 4.61%
Under 3.5 95.39%

Score analysis

Hamburger SV 41.96%
Draw 24.88%
Union Berlin 33.12%
Hamburger SV
1-0 @ 9.83%
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.79%
3-1 @ 4.3%
3-0 @ 3.43% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.11%
Other @ 5.81% (-0.02)
Total : 41.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.83% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.4%
2-2 @ 5.34%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 24.88%
Union Berlin
0-1 @ 7.89% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.46% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.14%
1-3 @ 3.42%
2-3 @ 2.62%
0-3 @ 2.06%
Other @ 4.53%
Total : 33.12%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Sep 28, 2025 6.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 31
Apr 28, 2019 12.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion An der Alten Försterei (Berlin)
  • Robert Zulj 46' goal
  • Felix Kroos 81' yellowcard
  • Christopher Trimmel 82' yellowcard
  • Grischa Promel 84' goal
  • yellowcard Douglas Santos 81'
  • yellowcard Leo Lacroix 90'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 14
Nov 26, 2018 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Volksparkstadion (Hamburg)
  • Aaron Hunt 58' goal
  • Lewis Holtby 65' goal
  • goal Joshua Mees 12'
  • yellowcard Marcel Hartel 77'
  • yellowcard Christopher Trimmel 87'
  • yellowcard Florian Hubner 88'
  • goal Suleiman Abdullahi 90'