Bundesliga Gameweek 22
Hamburger SV
Feb 14, 2026 2.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Volksparkstadion
Union Berlin
  • Ransford Königsdörffer 35' goal
  • Nicolás Capaldo 45'+2' goal
  • Luka Vuskovic 50' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Capaldo 64' yellowcard
  • Jean-Luc Dompé 72' yellowcard
  • Yussuf Poulsen 72' yellowcard
  • Giorgi Gocholeishvili 74' yellowcard
  • Ransford Königsdörffer 82' goal
  • William Mikelbrencis 87' yellowcard
  • Daniel Elfadli 87' yellowcard
  • Merlin Polzin 90'+2' yellowcard
  • William Mikelbrencis 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Leopold Querfeld 28'
  • yellowcard Leopold Querfeld 28'
  • yellowcard Livan Burcu 61'
  • yellowcard Tim Skarke 61'
  • yellowcard Alex Král 75'
  • yellowcard András Schäfer 83'
  • yellowcard Oliver Burke 83'
  • goal Andrej Ilic 89'

Hamburger SV vs Union Berlin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamburger SV

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 2.30pm
Heidenheim 0 - 2 Hamburger SV
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Fabio Vieira

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Feb 6, 2026 7.30pm
Union Berlin 1 - 1 Frankfurt
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Oliver Burke

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (7.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result

Hamburger SV 41.81% ▼ (-0.15)
Draw 24.9% ▲ (+0.01)
Union Berlin 33.35% ▲ (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.47% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.92% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 24.08% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 52.17% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 47.83% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 30.51% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 69.49% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 17.41% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 82.59% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Hamburger SV 30.22% ▲ (+0.15)
Draw 38.49% ▼ (-0.15)
Union Berlin 31.29%

Team To Score First

Hamburger SV 44.77% ▼ (-0.19)
No Goal 6.4%
Union Berlin 48.83% ▲ (+0.19)

Corners

Over 8 58.48% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 30.37% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 9 47.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 41.52% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 36.31% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 10.5 63.69% ▼ (-0.03)

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 1.5 41.28% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 1.5 58.72% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 2.5 17.85% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 82.15% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 5.84% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 94.16% ▲ (+0.05)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5 67.88% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 0.5 32.12% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 1.5 35.19% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 1.5 64.81% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 2.5 14.12% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 2.5 85.88% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 3.5 4.69% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 95.31% ▼ (-0.08)

Score analysis

Hamburger SV 41.81%
Draw 24.91%
Union Berlin 33.34%
Hamburger SV
1-0 @ 9.83%
2-1 @ 8.67% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.78% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.27% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 5.76% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 41.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.84% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.4%
2-2 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 24.91%
Union Berlin
0-1 @ 7.91% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.49% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 5.14%
1-3 @ 3.47% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 33.34%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Union Berlin
Sep 28, 2025 6.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Hamburger SV
  • Leopold Querfeld 79' yellowcard
  • Christopher Trimmel  90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Miro Muheim 38'
  • yellowcard Rayan Philippe 71'
  • redcard Fábio Vieira 90'+8'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 31
Union Berlin
Apr 28, 2019 12.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion An der Alten Försterei (Berlin)
Hamburger SV
  • Robert Zulj 46' goal
  • Felix Kroos 81' yellowcard
  • Christopher Trimmel 82' yellowcard
  • Grischa Promel 84' goal
  • yellowcard Douglas Santos 81'
  • yellowcard Leo Lacroix 90'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 14
Hamburger SV
Nov 26, 2018 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Volksparkstadion (Hamburg)
Union Berlin
  • Aaron Hunt 58' goal
  • Lewis Holtby 65' goal
  • goal Joshua Mees 12'
  • yellowcard Marcel Hartel 77'
  • yellowcard Christopher Trimmel 87'
  • yellowcard Florian Hubner 88'
  • goal Suleiman Abdullahi 90'

Form Data

Heidenheim 0 - 2 Hamburger SV
Aarhus Fremad 0 - 0 Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV 2 - 2 Bayern
St Pauli 0 - 0 Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV 0 - 0 Borussia M'bach
Freiburg 2 - 1 Hamburger SV
Union Berlin 1 - 1 Frankfurt
Hoffenheim 3 - 1 Union Berlin
Union Berlin 0 - 3 Dortmund
Stuttgart 1 - 1 Union Berlin
Augsburg 1 - 1 Union Berlin
Union Berlin 2 - 2 Mainz