Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Hamburger SV has a probability of 27.34% and a draw has a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Hamburger SV win is 0-1 (7.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.03%).