Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 51.78%. A draw had a probability of 25.18% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 23.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%) , while for a Augsburg win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.