Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Feb 7, 2026 2.30pm
Mewa Arena

Mainz 05 vs Augsburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 2.30pm
RB Leipzig 1 - 2 Mainz
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Kacper Potulski

Augsburg

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 2.30pm
Augsburg 2 - 1 St Pauli
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Alexis Claude-Maurice

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 51.58%. A draw has a probability of 25.23% and a win for Augsburg has a probability of 23.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.78%) , while for a Augsburg win it is 0-1 (6.76%).

Result

Mainz 05 51.58% (-0.04)
Draw 25.23%
Augsburg 23.15% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.17% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.63% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 25.37% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 50.65% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 49.35% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 29.26% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 70.73% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 16.36% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 83.64% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Mainz 05 40.67%
Draw 40.19%
Augsburg 19.14%

Team To Score First

Mainz 05 58.39%
No Goal 6.9% (-0.01)
Augsburg 34.71% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 56.23%
Equal 8 12.02%
Under 8 31.75%
Over 9 44.12%
Equal 9 12.11%
Under 9 43.77%
Over 10.5 32.97%
Under 10.5 67.03%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 1.5 48.15% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 51.85% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 23.16% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 76.84% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.46%
Under 3.5 91.54%

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5 59.62% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 40.38% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 26.11% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 73.89% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 8.05% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 91.95% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.14% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.86% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Mainz 05 51.59%
Draw 25.24%
Augsburg 23.15%
Mainz 05
1-0 @ 11.69%
2-1 @ 9.4%
2-0 @ 8.57% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.57%
3-0 @ 4.9% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.16%
Other @ 8.3%
Total : 51.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.78%
0-0 @ 6.9% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.33% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.24%
Augsburg
0-1 @ 6.76% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.95% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.62% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.01% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.69% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.14% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.98% (+0.02)
Total : 23.15%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2025 2.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2025 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mewa Arena
  • Moritz Jenz 8' yellowcard
  • Nelson Weiper 34' yellowcard
  • Maxim Leitsch 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Samuel Essende 43'
  • yellowcard Cedric Zesiger 45'+7'
  • yellowcard Jeffrey Gouweleeuw 88'
Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Sep 20, 2024 7.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT WWK Arena
  • Keven Schlotterbeck 25' goal
  • Samuel Essende 57' goal
  • Samuel Essende 70' redcard
  • Frank Onyeka 84' yellowcard
  • Elvis Rexhbecaj 90'+11' yellowcard
  • Jeffrey Gouweleeuw 90'+12' yellowcard
  • goal Armindo Sieb 13'
  • goal Jonathan Burkardt 15'
  • yellowcard Andreas Hanche-Olsen 28'
  • yellowcard Nadiem Amiri 33'
  • redcard Nadiem Amiri 35'
  • goal Jonathan Burkardt 49'
  • yellowcard Bo Henriksen 56'
  • yellowcard Dominik Kohr 90'
  • yellowcard Silvan Widmer 90'+7'
Bundesliga Gameweek 22
Feb 17, 2024 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mewa Arena
  • Lee Jae-sung 35' yellowcard
  • Sepp van den Berg 43' goal
  • Dominik Kohr 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Sepp van den Berg 90'+14' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Finn Dahmen 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Jeffrey Gouweleeuw 90'+8'
  • redcard Mads Pedersen 90'+12'
Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Sep 23, 2023 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT WWK Arena
  • Ermedin Demirovic 15' goal
  • Ermedin Demirovic 45' goal
  • Arne Engels 62' redcard
  • Niklas Dorsch 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Dion Beljo 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Ludovic Ajorque 6'
  • yellowcard Brajan Gruda 74'
  • yellowcard Robin Zentner 77'
  • yellowcard Lee Jae-sung 90'+7'
Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Lee Jae-sung 21' goal
  • Karim Onisiwo 24' goal
  • Lee Jae-sung 52' goal
  • goal Ermedin Demirovic 28'