Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Mainz
Feb 7, 2026 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mewa Arena
Augsburg
  • Nadiem Amiri 8' goal
  • Nadiem Amiri 8' yellowcard
  • Sheraldo Becker 63' yellowcard
  • Nadiem Amiri 80' goal
  • Nadiem Amiri 80' yellowcard
  • Kacper Potulski 81' yellowcard
  • Phillipp Mwene 81' yellowcard
  • Paul Nebel 81' yellowcard
  • Nadiem Amiri 81' yellowcard
  • Lennard Maloney 88' yellowcard
  • Sheraldo Becker 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cédric Zesiger 46'
  • yellowcard Kristijan Jakic 57'
  • yellowcard Anton Kade 57'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Ribeiro 57'
  • yellowcard Alexis Claude-Maurice 60'
  • yellowcard Anton Kade 78'
  • yellowcard Fabian Rieder 81'

Mainz 05 vs Augsburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 2.30pm
RB Leipzig 1 - 2 Mainz
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Nadiem Amiri

Augsburg

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 2.30pm
Augsburg 2 - 1 St Pauli
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Anton Kade

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 51.78%. A draw had a probability of 25.18% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 23.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%) , while for a Augsburg win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result

Mainz 05 51.78% ▲ (+0.21)
Draw 25.18% ▼ (-0.06)
Augsburg 23.01% ▼ (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.03% ▼ (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.58% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 25.42% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 50.61% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 49.39% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 29.16% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 70.84% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 4.5 16.27% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 83.73% ▲ (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Mainz 05 40.46% ▼ (-0.22)
Draw 40.31% ▲ (+0.13)
Augsburg 19.23% ▲ (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Mainz 05 58.39%
No Goal 6.93% ▲ (+0.03)
Augsburg 34.68% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 56.28% ▲ (+0.06)
Equal 8 12.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 31.71% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 9 44.17% ▲ (+0.06)
Equal 9 12.11%
Under 9 43.72% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 10.5 33.02% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 10.5 66.98% ▼ (-0.05)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 1.5 48.21% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 51.79% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 23.27% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 76.73% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 8.51% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 91.49% ▼ (-0.06)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5 59.38% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 0.5 40.62% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 1.5 25.87% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 1.5 74.13% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 2.5 7.94% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 2.5 92.06% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 2.1% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 97.9% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Mainz 05 51.79%
Draw 25.18%
Augsburg 23.01%
Mainz 05
1-0 @ 11.73% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.39% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.61% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 8.35% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 51.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.76% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.93% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.28% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.18%
Augsburg
0-1 @ 6.74% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.95%
0-2 @ 3.59% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 23.01%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Augsburg
Sep 20, 2025 2.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT WWK Arena
Mainz
  • Jeffrey Gouweleeuw 18' yellowcard
  • Samuel Essende 83' goal
  • goal Kaishu Sano 14'
  • yellowcard Dominik Kohr 16'
  • goal Dominik Kohr 26'
  • redcard Dominik Kohr 53'
  • goal Paul Nebel 60'
  • goal Armindo Sieb 69'
Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Mainz
Feb 8, 2025 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mewa Arena
Augsburg
  • Moritz Jenz 8' yellowcard
  • Nelson Weiper 34' yellowcard
  • Maxim Leitsch 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Samuel Essende 43'
  • yellowcard Cedric Zesiger 45'+7'
  • yellowcard Jeffrey Gouweleeuw 88'
Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Augsburg
Sep 20, 2024 7.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT WWK Arena
Mainz
  • Keven Schlotterbeck 25' goal
  • Samuel Essende 57' goal
  • Samuel Essende 70' redcard
  • Frank Onyeka 84' yellowcard
  • Elvis Rexhbecaj 90'+11' yellowcard
  • Jeffrey Gouweleeuw 90'+12' yellowcard
  • goal Armindo Sieb 13'
  • goal Jonathan Burkardt 15'
  • yellowcard Andreas Hanche-Olsen 28'
  • yellowcard Nadiem Amiri 33'
  • redcard Nadiem Amiri 35'
  • goal Jonathan Burkardt 49'
  • yellowcard Bo Henriksen 56'
  • yellowcard Dominik Kohr 90'
  • yellowcard Silvan Widmer 90'+7'
Bundesliga Gameweek 22
Mainz
Feb 17, 2024 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mewa Arena
Augsburg
  • Lee Jae-sung 35' yellowcard
  • Sepp van den Berg 43' goal
  • Dominik Kohr 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Sepp van den Berg 90'+14' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Finn Dahmen 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Jeffrey Gouweleeuw 90'+8'
  • redcard Mads Pedersen 90'+12'
Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Augsburg
Sep 23, 2023 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT WWK Arena
Mainz
  • Ermedin Demirovic 15' goal
  • Ermedin Demirovic 45' goal
  • Arne Engels 62' redcard
  • Niklas Dorsch 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Dion Beljo 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Ludovic Ajorque 6'
  • yellowcard Brajan Gruda 74'
  • yellowcard Robin Zentner 77'
  • yellowcard Lee Jae-sung 90'+7'
Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Mainz
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
Augsburg
  • Lee Jae-sung 21' goal
  • Karim Onisiwo 24' goal
  • Lee Jae-sung 52' goal
  • goal Ermedin Demirovic 28'

Form Data

RB Leipzig 1 - 2 Mainz
Mainz 3 - 1 Wolfsburg
FC Koln 2 - 1 Mainz
Mainz 2 - 1 Heidenheim
Union Berlin 2 - 2 Mainz
Mainz 0 - 0 St Pauli
Augsburg 2 - 1 St Pauli
Bayern 1 - 2 Augsburg
Augsburg 2 - 2 Freiburg
Augsburg 1 - 1 Union Berlin
Borussia M'bach 4 - 0 Augsburg
Augsburg 0 - 0 Werder Bremen