Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Feb 7, 2026 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mewa Arena
  • Nadiem Amiri 8' yellowcard
  • Sheraldo Becker 63' yellowcard
  • Nadiem Amiri 80' yellowcard
  • Kacper Potulski 81' yellowcard
  • Phillipp Mwene 81' yellowcard
  • Paul Nebel 81' yellowcard
  • Lennard Maloney 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cédric Zesiger 46'
  • yellowcard Kristijan Jakic 57'
  • yellowcard Anton Kade 57'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Ribeiro 57'
  • yellowcard Fabian Rieder 81'

Mainz 05 vs Augsburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 2.30pm
RB Leipzig 1 - 2 Mainz
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Nadiem Amiri

Augsburg

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 2.30pm
Augsburg 2 - 1 St Pauli
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Alexis Claude-Maurice

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 51.78%. A draw had a probability of 25.18% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 23.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%) , while for a Augsburg win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result

Mainz 05 51.78% (+0.21)
Draw 25.18% (-0.06)
Augsburg 23.01% (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.03% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.58% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 25.42% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 50.61% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 49.39% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 29.16% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 70.84% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 16.27% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 83.73% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Mainz 05 40.46% (-0.22)
Draw 40.31% (+0.13)
Augsburg 19.23% (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Mainz 05 58.39%
No Goal 6.93% (+0.03)
Augsburg 34.68% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 56.28% (+0.06)
Equal 8 12.01% (-0.01)
Under 8 31.71% (-0.04)
Over 9 44.17% (+0.06)
Equal 9 12.11%
Under 9 43.72% (-0.06)
Over 10.5 33.02% (+0.06)
Under 10.5 66.98% (-0.05)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 1.5 48.21% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 51.79% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 23.27% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 76.73% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 8.51% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 91.49% (-0.06)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5 59.38% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 40.62% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 25.87% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 74.13% (+0.24)
Over 2.5 7.94% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 92.06% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 2.1% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 97.9% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Mainz 05 51.79%
Draw 25.18%
Augsburg 23.01%
Mainz 05
1-0 @ 11.73% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.61% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.62% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.98% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.06)
Other @ 8.35% (+0.05)
Total : 51.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.76% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.93% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.18%
Augsburg
0-1 @ 6.74% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.95%
0-2 @ 3.59% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.94% (-0.05)
Total : 23.01%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2025 2.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2025 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mewa Arena
  • Moritz Jenz 8' yellowcard
  • Nelson Weiper 34' yellowcard
  • Maxim Leitsch 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Samuel Essende 43'
  • yellowcard Cedric Zesiger 45'+7'
  • yellowcard Jeffrey Gouweleeuw 88'
Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Sep 20, 2024 7.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT WWK Arena
  • Keven Schlotterbeck 25' goal
  • Samuel Essende 57' goal
  • Samuel Essende 70' redcard
  • Frank Onyeka 84' yellowcard
  • Elvis Rexhbecaj 90'+11' yellowcard
  • Jeffrey Gouweleeuw 90'+12' yellowcard
  • goal Armindo Sieb 13'
  • goal Jonathan Burkardt 15'
  • yellowcard Andreas Hanche-Olsen 28'
  • yellowcard Nadiem Amiri 33'
  • redcard Nadiem Amiri 35'
  • goal Jonathan Burkardt 49'
  • yellowcard Bo Henriksen 56'
  • yellowcard Dominik Kohr 90'
  • yellowcard Silvan Widmer 90'+7'
Bundesliga Gameweek 22
Feb 17, 2024 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mewa Arena
  • Lee Jae-sung 35' yellowcard
  • Sepp van den Berg 43' goal
  • Dominik Kohr 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Sepp van den Berg 90'+14' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Finn Dahmen 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Jeffrey Gouweleeuw 90'+8'
  • redcard Mads Pedersen 90'+12'
Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Sep 23, 2023 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT WWK Arena
  • Ermedin Demirovic 15' goal
  • Ermedin Demirovic 45' goal
  • Arne Engels 62' redcard
  • Niklas Dorsch 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Dion Beljo 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Ludovic Ajorque 6'
  • yellowcard Brajan Gruda 74'
  • yellowcard Robin Zentner 77'
  • yellowcard Lee Jae-sung 90'+7'
Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Lee Jae-sung 21' goal
  • Karim Onisiwo 24' goal
  • Lee Jae-sung 52' goal
  • goal Ermedin Demirovic 28'