Bundesliga
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-
Conrad Harder
40'
-
Benjamin Henrichs
59'
-
Ezechiel Banzuzi
59'
-
Tidiam Gomis
72'
-
Johan Bakayoko
86'
-
Silas
14'
-
Silas
49'
-
Nadiem Amiri
45'+6'
-
Lennard Maloney
72'
-
Paul Nebel
82'
-
Phillipp Mwene
82'
-
Nelson Weiper
82'
RB Leipzig vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 55.71%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 22.49% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (5.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result
RB Leipzig
55.71%
▼
(-0.65)
Draw
21.8%
▲
(+0.32)
Mainz 05
22.49%
▲
(+0.31)
Both Teams to Score:
57.59%
▼
(-0.03)
Goals
Over 1.5
80.53%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 1.5
19.47%
▲
(+0.40)
Over 2.5
58.94%
▼
(-0.53)
Under 2.5
41.06%
▲
(+0.53)
Over 3.5
37.11%
▼
(-0.43)
Under 3.5
62.89%
▲
(+0.43)
Over 4.5
22.88%
▼
(-0.40)
Under 4.5
77.12%
▲
(+0.40)
First Half Winner
RB Leipzig
42.42%
▼
(-0.04)
Draw
34.79%
▲
(+0.41)
Mainz 05
22.79%
▼
(-0.38)
Team To Score First
RB Leipzig
59.33%
▼
(-0.03)
No Goal
4.73%
▲
(+0.13)
Mainz 05
35.94%
▼
(-0.11)
Corners
Over 8
64.1%
▲
(+0.25)
Equal 8
10.32%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 8
25.58%
▼
(-0.25)
Over 9
53.05%
▲
(+0.24)
Equal 9
11.05%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 9
35.9%
▼
(-0.25)
Over 10.5
42.16%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 10.5
57.84%
▼
(-0.21)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 1.5
55.72%
▼
(-0.75)
Under 1.5
44.28%
▲
(+0.75)
Over 2.5
29.21%
▼
(-0.58)
Under 2.5
70.79%
▲
(+0.59)
Over 3.5
12.31%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 3.5
87.69%
▲
(+0.33)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5
59.24%
▲
(+0.34)
Under 0.5
40.76%
▼
(-0.34)
Over 1.5
28.29%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 1.5
71.71%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 2.5
10.09%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 2.5
89.91%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 3.5
3.18%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
96.82%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
RB Leipzig
55.71%
Draw
21.8%
Mainz 05
22.49%
RB Leipzig
2-1
@
9.54%
▼
(-0.07)
1-0 @ 9.51% ▲ (+0.11)
2-0 @ 8.91% ▼ (-0.10)
3-1 @ 6.34% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 12.23% ▼ (-0.35)
Total : 55.71%
1-0 @ 9.51% ▲ (+0.11)
2-0 @ 8.91% ▼ (-0.10)
3-1 @ 6.34% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 12.23% ▼ (-0.35)
Total : 55.71%
Draw
1-1
@
9.84%
▲
(+0.17)
2-2 @ 5.77% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.08% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 21.8%
2-2 @ 5.77% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.08% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 21.8%
Mainz 05
1-2
@
5.79%
▲
(+0.09)
0-1 @ 5.23% ▲ (+0.15)
0-2 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.29%
1-3 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 22.49%
0-1 @ 5.23% ▲ (+0.15)
0-2 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.29%
1-3 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 22.49%
Head to Head
Bundesliga
Bundesliga
Gameweek
24
-
Xavi Simons
1'
-
Amadou Haidara
52'
-
Nadiem Amiri
52'
-
Jonathan Burkardt
58'
-
Lennard Maloney
88'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
7
-
Paul Nebel
90'+1'
-
Xavi Simons
20'
-
Willi Orban
37'
-
Amadou Haidara
53'
-
Arthur Vermeeren
60'
-
Eljif Elmas
89'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
27
-
Castello Lukeba
67'
-
Xavi Simons
86'
-
Anthony Caci
20'
-
Phillipp Mwene
27'
-
Nadiem Amiri
34'
-
Leandro Barreiro
70'
-
Andreas Hanche-Olsen
79'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
10
-
Anthony Caci
39'
-
Lee Jae-sung
76'
-
Leandro Barreiro
80'
-
Aymen Barkok
88'
-
Sepp van den Berg
90'
-
Lukas Klostermann
51'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
26
-
Marcus Ingvartsen
9'
-
Ludovic Ajorque
57'
-
Dominik Kohr
67'