Bundesliga
Mainz
Jan 24, 2026 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Mewa Arena
Wolfsburg
  • Phillip Tietz 22' yellowcard
  • Nadiem Amiri 65' yellowcard
  • Phillipp Mwene 65' yellowcard
  • Phillip Tietz 68' goal
  • Dominic van Hoof 73' goal
  • Nadiem Amiri 83' yellowcard
  • Lennard Maloney 90' yellowcard
  • Silas 90' yellowcard
  • William Bøving 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Mohamed Amoura 3'
  • yellowcard Adam Daghim 66'
  • yellowcard Jesper Lindstrøm 75'
  • yellowcard Lovro Majer 75'
  • yellowcard Kento Shiogai 84'
  • yellowcard Mattias Svanberg 84'

Mainz 05 vs Wolfsburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 2.30pm
FC Koln 2 - 1 Mainz
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Nadiem Amiri

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 2.30pm
Wolfsburg 1 - 1 Heidenheim
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Dzenan Pejcinovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 48.65%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (6.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result

Mainz 05 48.65% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 23.53% ▼ (-0.01)
Wolfsburg 27.82% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.36%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.42%
Under 1.5 20.58%
Over 2.5 56.96% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 43.04% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 34.27% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 65.73% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 20.36% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 79.64% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Mainz 05 44.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 35.55% ▲ (+0.02)
Wolfsburg 20.13% ▲ (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Mainz 05 60.97% ▲ (+0.09)
No Goal 5.44% ▼ (-0.01)
Wolfsburg 33.59% ▼ (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 63.38% ▲ (+0.48)
Equal 8 10.7% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 25.92% ▼ (-0.49)
Over 9 51.99% ▲ (+0.42)
Equal 9 11.39% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 9 36.62% ▼ (-0.48)
Over 10.5 40.86% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 10.5 59.14% ▼ (-0.33)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 1.5 49.37% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 50.63% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 24.5% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 75.5% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 10.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 89.97% ▼ (-0.02)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5 63.81% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 36.19% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 31.6% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 68.4% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 12.05% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 87.95% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.78%
Under 3.5 96.22%

Score analysis

Mainz 05 48.64%
Draw 23.52%
Wolfsburg 27.81%
Mainz 05
2-1 @ 9.36%
1-0 @ 8.58% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.66% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.34% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.62% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.22%
Other @ 9.86% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 48.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.98%
2-2 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.44% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.52%
Wolfsburg
1-2 @ 6.84%
0-1 @ 6.53% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.21%
0-3 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 27.81%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Wolfsburg
Aug 31, 2025 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Mainz
Bundesliga Gameweek 30
Mainz
Apr 19, 2025 2.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Mewa Arena
Wolfsburg
  • Lee Jae-sung 37' goal
  • Dominik Kohr 40' goal
  • Dominik Kohr 51' yellowcard
  • Nikolas Veratschnig 67' yellowcard
  • goal Maximilian Arnold 3'
  • yellowcard Tiago Tomas 68'
  • goal Denis Vavro 89'
  • yellowcard Joakim Maehle 90'
  • yellowcard Denis Vavro 90'+3'
Bundesliga Gameweek 13
Wolfsburg
Dec 8, 2024 2.30pm
4
3
HT : 1 2
FT VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Mainz
  • Mohamed El Amine Amoura 19' goal
  • Bote Baku 21' yellowcard
  • Maximilian Arnold 22' yellowcard
  • Tiago Tomas 57' goal
  • Tiago Tomas 68' yellowcard
  • Jonas Wind 84' goal
  • Jonas Wind 90'+4' goal
  • goal Paul Nebel 11'
  • yellowcard Bo Henriksen 27'
  • goal Jonathan Burkardt 39'
  • yellowcard Nadiem Amiri 43'
  • yellowcard Lee Jae-sung 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Dominik Kohr 56'
  • goal Paul Nebel 66'
  • yellowcard Maxim Leitsch 90'+1'
Bundesliga Gameweek 34
Wolfsburg
May 18, 2024 2.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Mainz
  • Kevin Paredes 18' goal
  • Patrick Wimmer 52' yellowcard
  • Lovro Majer 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lee Jae-sung 12'
  • goal Brajan Gruda 24'
  • yellowcard Andreas Hanche-Olsen 54'
  • goal Sepp van den Berg 72'
  • goal Jonathan Burkardt 85'
  • yellowcard Dominik Kohr 89'
Bundesliga Gameweek 17
Mainz
Jan 13, 2024 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT OPEL ARENA
Wolfsburg
  • Silvan Widmer 3' yellowcard
  • Sepp van den Berg 46' yellowcard
  • Edimilson Fernandes 56' yellowcard
  • Silvan Widmer 61' goal
  • goal Vaclav Cerny 12'
  • yellowcard Aster Vranckx 16'
  • yellowcard Moritz Jenz 27'
  • yellowcard Koen Casteels 54'
  • yellowcard Mattias Svanberg 79'
Bundesliga Gameweek 30
Wolfsburg
Apr 30, 2023 4.30pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Mainz
  • Jonas Wind 5' goal
  • Sebastiaan Bornauw 13' goal
  • Jonas Wind 28' goal

Form Data

FC Koln 2 - 1 Mainz
Mainz 2 - 1 Heidenheim
Union Berlin 0 - 0 Mainz
Mainz 0 - 0 St Pauli
Mainz 2 - 0 Samsunspor
Bayern 2 - 2 Mainz
Wolfsburg 1 - 1 Heidenheim
Wolfsburg 2 - 1 St Pauli
Bayern 8 - 1 Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg 3 - 4 Freiburg
Borussia M'bach 1 - 3 Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg 3 - 1 Union Berlin