Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 69.16%. A draw has a probability of 18.6% and a win for Mainz 05 has a probability of 12.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.65%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.4%) , while for a Mainz 05 win it is 0-1 (3.8%).