Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Feb 7, 2026 2.30pm
Volkswagen Arena

Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Last game
Jan 30, 2026 7.30pm
FC Koln 1 - 0 Wolfsburg
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Dzenan Pejcinovic

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 4.30pm
Dortmund 3 - 2 Heidenheim
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Julian Brandt

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for Wolfsburg has a probability of 28.33% and a draw has a probability of 25.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win is 2-1 (7.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.32%).

Result

Wolfsburg 28.33% (+0.03)
Draw 25.17% (-0.02)
Borussia Dortmund 46.53% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.01% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.25% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 21.75% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 55.36%
Under 2.5 44.64%
Over 3.5 31.93% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 68.07% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 17.9% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 82.1% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Wolfsburg 27.02% (-0.04)
Draw 38.82% (-0.03)
Borussia Dortmund 34.16% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Wolfsburg 41.36%
No Goal 6.27% (-0.02)
Borussia Dortmund 52.37% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 61.18% (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.3%
Under 8 27.52% (+0.02)
Over 9 49.35% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.84%
Under 9 38.82% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 38% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 62% (+0.03)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 1.5 32.41% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 67.59% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 12.42% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 87.58% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.72% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.28% (-0.02)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 77.66% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 22.34% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 47.28% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 52.72% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 21.86% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 78.14% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 7.82% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 92.18% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Wolfsburg 28.33%
Draw 25.16%
Borussia Dortmund 46.54%
Wolfsburg
2-1 @ 7.06%
1-0 @ 6.5%
2-0 @ 3.94% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.99% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.18% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.51% (+0.02)
Total : 28.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.32%
0-0 @ 6.27% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.98% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 25.16%
Borussia Dortmund
1-2 @ 9.62% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 9.01% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.64%
1-3 @ 5.06% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.59% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.01%
Other @ 7.61% (+0.02)
Total : 46.54%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Sep 21, 2025 6.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga Gameweek 32
May 3, 2025 5.30pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
  • Serhou Guirassy 3' goal
  • Serhou Guirassy 59' goal
  • Karim Adeyemi 69' goal
  • Karim Adeyemi 73' goal
  • yellowcard Kilian Fischer 56'
Bundesliga Gameweek 15
Dec 22, 2024 4.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 3
FT VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
  • Konstantinos Koulierakis 50' yellowcard
  • Yannick Gerhardt 55' yellowcard
  • Denis Vavro 58' goal
  • Denis Vavro 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Donyell Malen 25'
  • goal Maximilian Beier 28'
  • goal Julian Brandt 30'
  • redcard Pascal Gross 62'
  • yellowcard Donyell Malen 63'
  • yellowcard Donyell Malen 70'
  • yellowcard Yan Couto 90'+4'
DFB-Pokal
Oct 29, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
ET VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
  • Maximilian Arnold 62' yellowcard
  • Salih Ozcan 114' yellowcard
  • Jonas Wind 116' goal
  • yellowcard Felix Nmecha 56'
  • yellowcard Jamie Bynoe-Gittens 85'
  • yellowcard Nico Schlotterbeck 115'
  • yellowcard Ramy Bensebaini 120'
Bundesliga Gameweek 22
Feb 17, 2024 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
  • Yannick Gerhardt 63' goal
  • Yannick Gerhardt 71' yellowcard
  • Maximilian Arnold 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Moritz Jenz 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Niclas Fullkrug 8'
  • yellowcard Youssoufa Moukoko 90'+8'
Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Sep 23, 2023 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
  • Marco Reus 68' goal
  • yellowcard Vaclav Cerny 24'