Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (7.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.