Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Wolfsburg
Feb 7, 2026 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Volkswagen Arena
Dortmund
  • Jan Bürger 17' yellowcard
  • Adam Daghim 47' yellowcard
  • Konstantinos Koulierakis 52' goal
  • Jesper Lindstrøm 64' yellowcard
  • Lovro Majer 64' yellowcard
  • Mattias Svanberg 83' yellowcard
  • Dzenan Pejcinovic 83' yellowcard
  • goal Julian Brandt 38'
  • yellowcard Nico Schlotterbeck 51'
  • yellowcard Fábio Silva 69'
  • goal Serhou Guirassy 87'
  • yellowcard Ramy Bensebaini 88'
  • yellowcard Carney Chukwuemeka 88'
  • yellowcard Salih Özcan 88'
  • yellowcard Luca Reggiani 90'+5'

Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Last game
Jan 30, 2026 7.30pm
FC Koln 1 - 0 Wolfsburg
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Dzenan Pejcinovic

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 4.30pm
Dortmund 3 - 2 Heidenheim
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Serhou Guirassy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (7.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result

Wolfsburg 28.33% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 25.02% ▼ (-0.13)
Borussia Dortmund 46.68% ▲ (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.08% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.33% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 21.67% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 55.55% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 2.5 44.45% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 3.5 32.21% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 3.5 67.79% ▼ (-0.28)
Over 4.5 18.04% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 4.5 81.96% ▼ (-0.16)

First Half Winner

Wolfsburg 26.8% ▼ (-0.27)
Draw 38.85% ▲ (+0.04)
Borussia Dortmund 34.35% ▲ (+0.25)

Team To Score First

Wolfsburg 41.52% ▲ (+0.23)
No Goal 6.2% ▼ (-0.07)
Borussia Dortmund 52.28% ▼ (-0.15)

Corners

Over 8 61.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 8 11.28% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 27.46%
Over 9 49.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.82%
Under 9 38.74% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 10.5 38.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 10.5 61.9% ▲ (+0.02)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 1.5 32.42%
Under 1.5 67.58%
Over 2.5 12.46% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 87.54% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 3.77% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 96.23% ▼ (-0.05)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 77.72% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 22.28% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 47.43% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 52.57% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 2.5 21.98% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 2.5 78.02% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 7.89% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 92.11% ▼ (-0.08)

Score analysis

Wolfsburg 28.33%
Draw 25.01%
Borussia Dortmund 46.67%
Wolfsburg
2-1 @ 7.04% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 6.48% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3%
3-2 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 28.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.25% ▼ (-0.08)
0-0 @ 6.2% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 25.01%
Borussia Dortmund
1-2 @ 9.63%
0-1 @ 9% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.63% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.11)
0-3 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 3.01%
Other @ 7.69% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 46.67%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Dortmund
Sep 21, 2025 6.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Signal Iduna Park
Wolfsburg
  • Ramy Bensebaini 5' yellowcard
  • Karim Adeyemi 20' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 32
Dortmund
May 3, 2025 5.30pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
Wolfsburg
  • Serhou Guirassy 3' goal
  • Serhou Guirassy 59' goal
  • Karim Adeyemi 69' goal
  • Karim Adeyemi 73' goal
  • yellowcard Kilian Fischer 56'
Bundesliga Gameweek 15
Wolfsburg
Dec 22, 2024 4.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 3
FT VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Dortmund
  • Konstantinos Koulierakis 50' yellowcard
  • Yannick Gerhardt 55' yellowcard
  • Denis Vavro 58' goal
  • Denis Vavro 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Donyell Malen 25'
  • goal Maximilian Beier 28'
  • goal Julian Brandt 30'
  • redcard Pascal Gross 62'
  • yellowcard Donyell Malen 63'
  • yellowcard Donyell Malen 70'
  • yellowcard Yan Couto 90'+4'
DFB-Pokal
Wolfsburg
Oct 29, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
ET VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Dortmund
  • Maximilian Arnold 62' yellowcard
  • Salih Ozcan 114' yellowcard
  • Jonas Wind 116' goal
  • yellowcard Felix Nmecha 56'
  • yellowcard Jamie Bynoe-Gittens 85'
  • yellowcard Nico Schlotterbeck 115'
  • yellowcard Ramy Bensebaini 120'
Bundesliga Gameweek 22
Wolfsburg
Feb 17, 2024 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Dortmund
  • Yannick Gerhardt 63' goal
  • Yannick Gerhardt 71' yellowcard
  • Maximilian Arnold 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Moritz Jenz 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Niclas Fullkrug 8'
  • yellowcard Youssoufa Moukoko 90'+8'
Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Dortmund
Sep 23, 2023 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
Wolfsburg
  • Marco Reus 68' goal
  • yellowcard Vaclav Cerny 24'

Form Data

FC Koln 1 - 0 Wolfsburg
Mainz 3 - 1 Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg 1 - 1 Heidenheim
Wolfsburg 2 - 1 St Pauli
Bayern 8 - 1 Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg 3 - 4 Freiburg
Dortmund 3 - 2 Heidenheim
Dortmund 0 - 2 Inter Milan
Union Berlin 0 - 3 Dortmund
Spurs 2 - 0 Dortmund
Dortmund 3 - 2 St Pauli
Dortmund 3 - 0 Werder Bremen