Bundesliga
B. Leverkusen
Feb 28, 2026 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT BayArena
Mainz
  • Axel Tape 46' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Maza 59' yellowcard
  • Martin Terrier 59' yellowcard
  • Christian Kofane 72' yellowcard
  • Aleix García 82' yellowcard
  • Jarell Quansah 88' goal
  • goal Sheraldo Becker 67'
  • yellowcard Silas 69'
  • yellowcard Danny da Costa 81'
  • yellowcard Lennard Maloney 89'

Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 2.30pm
Union Berlin 1 - 0 B. Leverkusen
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Martin Terrier

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Feb 20, 2026 7.30pm
Mainz 1 - 1 Hamburger SV
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Nadiem Amiri

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 66.44%. A draw had a probability of 19.55% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 14.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (10.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%) , while for a Mainz 05 win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result

Bayer Leverkusen 66.44% ▼ (-0.07)
Draw 19.55% ▲ (+0.02)
Mainz 05 14.01% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.1%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.05% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 20.95% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 57.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 42.74% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 34.69% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 65.31% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 22.66% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 77.34% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Bayer Leverkusen 50.62%
Draw 33.33%
Mainz 05 16.05%

Team To Score First

Bayer Leverkusen 69.37%
No Goal 5.47%
Mainz 05 25.16%

Corners

Over 8 59.97%
Equal 8 11.37%
Under 8 28.66%
Over 9 48.17%
Equal 9 11.8%
Under 9 40.03%
Over 10.5 36.96%
Under 10.5 63.04%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 1.5 61.46% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 38.54% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 35.29% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 64.71% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 16.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 83.52% ▲ (+0.02)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 48.33% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 51.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 17.9% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 82.1% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 4.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 95.52% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.05%
Under 3.5 98.95%

Score analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 66.43%
Draw 19.55%
Mainz 05 14.01%
Bayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 11.02% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 10.91% ▼ (-0.06)
2-1 @ 10.03% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.85%
3-1 @ 6.84% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 16.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 66.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.11%
0-0 @ 5.47%
2-2 @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 19.55%
Mainz 05
0-1 @ 4.45%
1-2 @ 4.13% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.77%
2-3 @ 1.08%
1-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 14.01%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Mainz
Oct 18, 2025 2.30pm
3
4
HT : 0 0
FT
B. Leverkusen
Bundesliga Gameweek 34
Mainz
May 17, 2025 2.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Mewa Arena
B. Leverkusen
  • Paul Nebel 35' goal
  • Stefan Bell 40' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Burkardt 63' goal
  • Andreas Hanche-Olsen 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Exequiel Palacios 40'
  • goal Patrik Schick 49'
  • yellowcard Aleix Garcia 45'+7'
  • goal Patrik Schick 54'
  • yellowcard Piero Hincapie 59'
  • yellowcard Xabi Alonso 68'
  • yellowcard Arthur 68'
  • yellowcard Xabi Alonso 68'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Tah 83'
  • yellowcard Florian Wirtz 87'
Bundesliga Gameweek 17
B. Leverkusen
Jan 14, 2025 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT BayArena
Mainz
  • Alex Grimaldo 48' goal
  • Nordi Mukiele 69' yellowcard
  • Granit Xhaka 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Armindo Sieb 17'
  • yellowcard Stefan Bell 51'
  • yellowcard Anthony Caci 68'
  • yellowcard Armindo Sieb 90'+1'
Bundesliga Gameweek 23
B. Leverkusen
Feb 23, 2024 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT BayArena
Mainz
  • Granit Xhaka 3' goal
  • Jeremie Frimpong 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Xabi Alonso 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Tah 49' yellowcard
  • Robert Andrich 68' goal
  • Florian Wirtz 74' yellowcard
  • goal Dominik Kohr 7'
  • yellowcard Karim Onisiwo 42'
  • yellowcard Dominik Kohr 52'
  • yellowcard Robin Zentner 54'
  • yellowcard Anthony Caci 66'
  • redcard Jessic Ngankam 80'
  • yellowcard Phillipp Mwene 85'
Bundesliga Gameweek 6
Mainz
Sep 30, 2023 2.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT OPEL ARENA
B. Leverkusen
  • Edimilson Fernandes 58' yellowcard
  • Brajan Gruda 75' yellowcard
  • Marco Richter 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Leandro Barreiro 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Granit Xhaka 4'
  • goal Sepp van den Berg 18' (OG)
  • goal Alex Grimaldo 59'
  • goal Jonas Hofmann 65'
Bundesliga Gameweek 21
B. Leverkusen
Feb 19, 2023 6.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT
Mainz
  • Nadiem Amiri 32' goal
  • Patrik Schick 58' goal
  • goal Anthony Caci 26'
  • goal Leandro Barreiro 45'+4'
  • goal Marcus Ingvartsen 82'

Form Data

B. Leverkusen 0 - 0 Olympiacos
Union Berlin 1 - 0 B. Leverkusen
Olympiacos 0 - 2 B. Leverkusen
B. Leverkusen 4 - 0 St Pauli
Borussia M'bach 1 - 1 B. Leverkusen
B. Leverkusen 3 - 0 St Pauli
Mainz 1 - 1 Hamburger SV
Dortmund 4 - 0 Mainz
Mainz 2 - 0 Augsburg
RB Leipzig 1 - 2 Mainz
Mainz 3 - 1 Wolfsburg
FC Koln 2 - 1 Mainz