La Liga
Gameweek
21
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Villarreal vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 46.63%. A win for Villarreal has a probability of 31.36% and a draw has a probability of 22.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.67%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Villarreal win is 2-1 (7.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.48%).
Result
Villarreal
31.36%
▲
(+0.65)
Draw
22.01%
▲
(+0.05)
Real Madrid
46.63%
▼
(-0.69)
Both Teams to Score:
64.21%
▲
(+0.63)
Goals
Over 1.5
83.83%
▲
(+0.35)
Under 1.5
16.17%
▼
(-0.34)
Over 2.5
64.58%
▲
(+0.52)
Under 2.5
35.42%
▼
(-0.52)
Over 3.5
41.89%
▲
(+0.54)
Under 3.5
58.11%
▼
(-0.54)
Over 4.5
26.04%
▲
(+0.40)
Under 4.5
73.96%
▼
(-0.41)
First Half Winner
Villarreal
25.69%
Draw
36.15%
▼
(-0.07)
Real Madrid
38.16%
▲
(+0.06)
Team To Score First
Villarreal
46.43%
No Goal
3.85%
▼
(-0.11)
Real Madrid
49.72%
▲
(+0.11)
Corners
Over 8
62.45%
Equal 8
10.34%
Under 8
27.21%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 9
51.53%
Equal 9
10.93%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 9
37.55%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 10.5
40.88%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 10.5
59.12%
▲
(+0.01)
Villarreal Goals
Over 1.5
38.42%
▲
(+0.92)
Under 1.5
61.58%
▼
(-0.92)
Over 2.5
16.91%
▲
(+0.58)
Under 2.5
83.09%
▼
(-0.57)
Over 3.5
5.97%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 3.5
94.03%
▼
(-0.27)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
79.13%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 0.5
20.87%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 1.5
51.95%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 1.5
48.05%
▲
(+0.19)
Over 2.5
26.86%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 2.5
73.14%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 3.5
11.19%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 3.5
88.81%
▲
(+0.05)
Score analysis
Villarreal
31.36%
Draw
22.01%
Real Madrid
46.64%
Villarreal
2-1
@
7.43%
▲
(+0.13)
1-0 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.25)
Total : 31.36%
1-0 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.25)
Total : 31.36%
Draw
1-1
@
9.48%
▼
(-0.05)
2-2 @ 6.3% ▲ (+0.10)
0-0 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 22.01%
2-2 @ 6.3% ▲ (+0.10)
0-0 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 22.01%
Real Madrid
1-2
@
9.46%
▼
(-0.06)
0-1 @ 6.67% ▼ (-0.21)
0-2 @ 6.03% ▼ (-0.21)
1-3 @ 5.96% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 4.04% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 10.77% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 46.64%
0-1 @ 6.67% ▼ (-0.21)
0-2 @ 6.03% ▼ (-0.21)
1-3 @ 5.96% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 4.04% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 10.77% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 46.64%
Head to Head
La Liga
La Liga
Gameweek
28
-
Juan Foyth
7'
-
Sergi Cardona
50'
-
Juan Foyth
75'
-
Kylian Mbappe
17'
-
Kylian Mbappe
23'
-
Aurelien Tchouameni
33'
La Liga
Gameweek
9
-
Federico Valverde
14'
-
Vinicius Junior
73'
-
Kiko Femenia
33'
La Liga
Gameweek
37
-
Alexander Sorloth
39'
-
Alexander Sorloth
48'
-
Alberto Moreno
45'+5'
-
Alexander Sorloth
52'
-
Alexander Sorloth
56'
-
Bertrand Traore
84'
-
Marcelino
90'+1'
-
Arda Guler
14'
-
Joselu
30'
-
Lucas Vazquez
40'
-
Arda Guler
45'+2'
-
Eduardo Camavinga
66'
-
Dani Ceballos
86'
La Liga
Gameweek
17
-
Jude Bellingham
25'
-
Rodrygo
37'
-
Brahim Diaz
64'
-
Jude Bellingham
67'
-
Luka Modric
68'
-
Aurelien Tchouameni
83'
-
Jose Luis Morales
54'
-
Adria Altimira
67'
-
Ilias Akhomach
74'
-
Etienne Capoue
85'
La Liga
Gameweek
28
-
Pau Torres
16'
-
Vinicius Junior
48'
-
Samuel Chukwueze
39'
-
Jose Luis Morales
70'
-
Samuel Chukwueze
80'