Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Villarreal win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Ajax has a probability of 27.63% and a draw has a probability of 22.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Ajax win is 1-2 (6.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.18%).