Champions League
Gameweek
7
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-
Tajon Buchanan
46'
-
Tani Oluwaseyi
49'
-
Georges Mikautadze
72'
-
Gerard Moreno
72'
-
Dani Parejo
74'
-
Ko Itakura
54'
-
Oscar Gluh
61'
-
Oscar Gloukh
61'
-
Rayane Bounida
71'
-
Sean Steur
71'
-
Kian Fitz-Jim
84'
-
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen
84'
-
Oliver Edvardsen
84'
-
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen
89'
-
Oliver Edvardsen
89'
Villarreal vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 48.21%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (6.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result
Villarreal
48.21%
▼
(-0.47)
Draw
23.06%
▼
(-0.07)
Ajax
28.8%
▲
(+0.57)
Both Teams to Score:
59.5%
▲
(+0.64)
Goals
Over 1.5
82%
▲
(+0.83)
Under 1.5
18%
▼
(-0.83)
Over 2.5
61.45%
▲
(+0.72)
Under 2.5
38.55%
▼
(-0.72)
Over 3.5
38.98%
▲
(+0.80)
Under 3.5
61.02%
▼
(-0.80)
Over 4.5
24.9%
▲
(+0.84)
Under 4.5
75.1%
▼
(-0.85)
First Half Winner
Villarreal
36.68%
Draw
38.26%
Ajax
25.06%
Team To Score First
Villarreal
56.61%
▲
(+0.18)
No Goal
4.74%
▼
(-0.27)
Ajax
38.65%
▲
(+0.09)
Corners
Over 8
59.72%
▲
(+0.57)
Equal 8
10.99%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 8
29.29%
▼
(-0.64)
Over 9
48.35%
▲
(+0.43)
Equal 9
11.37%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 9
40.28%
▼
(-0.57)
Over 10.5
37.53%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 10.5
62.46%
▼
(-0.26)
Villarreal Goals
Over 1.5
51.15%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 1.5
48.85%
▼
(-0.25)
Over 2.5
26.03%
▲
(+0.43)
Under 2.5
73.97%
▼
(-0.44)
Over 3.5
11.63%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 3.5
88.37%
▼
(-0.16)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
65.39%
▲
(+0.63)
Under 0.5
34.61%
▼
(-0.62)
Over 1.5
35.05%
▲
(+0.95)
Under 1.5
64.95%
▼
(-0.96)
Over 2.5
15.43%
▲
(+0.86)
Under 2.5
84.57%
▼
(-0.87)
Over 3.5
5.79%
▲
(+0.38)
Under 3.5
94.21%
▼
(-0.38)
Score analysis
Villarreal
48.22%
Draw
23.05%
Ajax
28.8%
Villarreal
2-1
@
9.93%
▼
(-0.05)
1-0 @ 8.03% ▼ (-0.42)
2-0 @ 6.6% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 4.98% ▼ (-0.16)
3-0 @ 4.2% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 11.11% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 48.22%
1-0 @ 8.03% ▼ (-0.42)
2-0 @ 6.6% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 4.98% ▼ (-0.16)
3-0 @ 4.2% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 11.11% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 48.22%
Draw
1-1
@
10.13%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.18)
0-0 @ 4.74% ▼ (-0.27)
3-3 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.26)
Other @ 0.52% ▲ (+0.12)
Total : 23.05%
2-2 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.18)
0-0 @ 4.74% ▼ (-0.27)
3-3 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.26)
Other @ 0.52% ▲ (+0.12)
Total : 23.05%
Ajax
1-2
@
6.62%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.20)
1-3 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.28)
2-3 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 5.27% ▲ (+0.26)
Total : 28.8%
0-1 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.20)
1-3 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.28)
2-3 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 5.27% ▲ (+0.26)
Total : 28.8%