Eredivisie Gameweek 18
Jan 11, 2026 1.30pm
BUKO Stadion

Telstar vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Telstar

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 8.00pm
NAC Breda 0 - 1 Telstar
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Jeff Hardeveld

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 7.00pm
Nijmegen 2 - 2 Ajax
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Mika Godts

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw has a probability of 23.1% and a win for Telstar has a probability of 22.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.2%) , while for a Telstar win it is 1-0 (5.69%).

Result

Telstar 22.84%
Draw 23.1%
Ajax 54.02%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.21%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.82%
Under 1.5 22.18%
Over 2.5 57.4%
Under 2.5 42.6%
Over 3.5 38.05%
Under 3.5 61.95%
Over 4.5 24.51%
Under 4.5 75.49%

First Half Winner

Telstar 25.6%
Draw 35.7%
Ajax 38.7%

Team To Score First

Telstar 41.31%
No Goal 6.36%
Ajax 52.33%

Corners

Over 8 66.32%
Equal 8 10.59%
Under 8 23.09%
Over 9 54.73%
Equal 9 11.58%
Under 9 33.69%
Over 10.5 43.17%
Under 10.5 56.83%

Telstar Goals

Over 1.5 28.7%
Under 1.5 71.3%
Over 2.5 11.23%
Under 2.5 88.77%
Over 3.5 4.15%
Under 3.5 95.85%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 80.18%
Under 0.5 19.82%
Over 1.5 53.66%
Under 1.5 46.34%
Over 2.5 28.4%
Under 2.5 71.6%
Over 3.5 12.79%
Under 3.5 87.21%

Score analysis

Telstar 22.84%
Draw 23.11%
Ajax 54.02%
Telstar
1-0 @ 5.69%
2-1 @ 4.85%
2-0 @ 2.85%
3-1 @ 2.37%
3-2 @ 2.19%
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 22.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.2%
0-0 @ 6.36%
2-2 @ 5.77%
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.11%
Ajax
0-1 @ 10.1%
1-2 @ 8.94%
0-2 @ 8.36%
1-3 @ 5.41%
0-3 @ 4.62%
2-3 @ 4%
Other @ 12.59%
Total : 54.02%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Aug 10, 2025 1.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
KNVB Beker
Dec 19, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Kian Fitz-Jim 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Daniele Rugani 64' goal
  • Chuba Akpom 86' goal
  • yellowcard Danny Bakker 45'+2'