Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 1-2 (7.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%).