Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (8.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.