Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (10.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.