Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Girona had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (8.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.