Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Getafe win was 0-1 (9.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.