Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 52.45%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 23.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-2 (6.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.