La Liga Gameweek 25
Feb 22, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de la Cerámica
  • Santi Comesaña 31' goal
  • Pape Gueye 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Thomas Partey 58' yellowcard
  • Tajon Buchanan 70' yellowcard
  • Alfonso Pedraza 70' yellowcard
  • 70' yellowcard
  • Alfon González 83' yellowcard
  • Dani Parejo 83' yellowcard
  • Alfon González 84' yellowcard
  • Dani Parejo 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Largie Ramazani 27'
  • yellowcard Arnaut Danjuma 70'
  • yellowcard Thierry Correia 70'
  • yellowcard 70'
  • yellowcard Thierry Correia 71'
  • yellowcard Jesús Vázquez 78'
  • yellowcard Hugo Duro 78'
  • yellowcard André Almeida 88'

Villarreal vs Valencia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions
Last game
Feb 18, 2026 7.00pm
Levante 0 - 1 Villarreal
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Georges Mikautadze

Valencia

All competitions
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 5.30pm
Levante 0 - 2 Valencia
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Hugo Duro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 52.45%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 23.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-2 (6.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result

Villarreal 52.45% (+0.02)
Draw 23.72% (-0.07)
Valencia 23.83% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.43% (+0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.34% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 21.66% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 55.1% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 44.9% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 32.78% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 67.22% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 19.3% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 80.7% (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Villarreal 38.47%
Draw 40.87%
Valencia 20.66%

Team To Score First

Villarreal 57.91% (-0.03)
No Goal 5.69%
Valencia 36.4% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 58.52% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.52%
Under 8 29.96% (+0.02)
Over 9 46.71% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.81%
Under 9 41.48% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 35.61% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 64.39% (+0.02)

Villarreal Goals

Over 1.5 51.38% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 48.62% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 25.33% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 74.67% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 9.8% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 90.2% (-0.01)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5 60.97% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 39.03% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 28.35% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 71.65% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 9.51% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 90.49% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 2.54% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.46% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Villarreal 52.46%
Draw 23.72%
Valencia 23.83%
Villarreal
1-0 @ 10.07% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 8.55% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.65% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.04%
3-2 @ 3.67% (+0.03)
Other @ 9.69% (+0.02)
Total : 52.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.27% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 5.69%
2-2 @ 5.48% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.17% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.11% (-0.01)
Total : 23.72%
Valencia
1-2 @ 6.27% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.91% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.42% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.35%
2-3 @ 2.23% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.43% (+0.03)
Total : 23.83%

Head to Head

La Liga
Oct 25, 2025 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 24
Feb 15, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de la Ceramica
  • Pape Gueye 32' goal
  • yellowcard Diego Lopez 47'
  • yellowcard Jose Gaya 48'
  • goal Umar Sadiq 84'
  • yellowcard Pepelu 87'
  • yellowcard Umar Sadiq 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Fran Perez 90'+4'
La Liga Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Hugo Duro 24' goal
  • Hugo Duro 39' yellowcard
  • Pepelu 51' yellowcard
  • Hugo Guillamon 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yeremy Pino 42'
  • goal Ayoze Perez 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Pape Gueye 50'
  • redcard Pape Gueye 68'
  • yellowcard Kiko Femenia 77'
  • yellowcard Raul Albiol 83'
La Liga Gameweek 29
Mar 17, 2024 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de la Ceramica
  • Kiko Femenia 12' yellowcard
  • Francis Coquelin 35' yellowcard
  • Alex Baena 41' yellowcard
  • Jorge Cuenca 52' yellowcard
  • Jorge Cuenca 54' goal
  • Aissa Mandi 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cenk Ozkacar 36'
La Liga Gameweek 19
Jan 2, 2024 8.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Roman Yaremchuk 4' goal
  • Pepelu 27' goal
  • Pepelu 57' goal
  • Jose Gaya 63' yellowcard
  • Diego Lopez 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eric Bailly 37'
  • yellowcard Marcelino 38'
  • yellowcard Dani Parejo 49'
  • yellowcard Etienne Capoue 56'
  • goal Gerard Moreno 73'
  • yellowcard Ramon Terrats 80'
  • yellowcard Jorge Cuenca 90'+2'
La Liga Gameweek 33
May 3, 2023 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Samuel Lino 72' goal
  • goal Nicolas Jackson 62'