Copa del Rey
Feb 4, 2026 8.00pm
Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Valencia win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Athletic Bilbao has a probability of 30.35% and a draw has a probability of 29.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win is 0-1 (8.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.76%).

Result

Valencia 40.08% (+0.04)
Draw 29.57% (-0.01)
Athletic Bilbao 30.35% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.78% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.5% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 27.5% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 46.61% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 53.39% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 24.51%
Under 3.5 75.49%
Over 4.5 12.96% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 87.04% (-0.06)

First Half Winner

Valencia 26.46% (+0.09)
Draw 49.11% (-0.05)
Athletic Bilbao 24.43% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Valencia 49.68% (-0.01)
No Goal 8.74% (-0.01)
Athletic Bilbao 41.58% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 49.79% (-0.28)
Equal 8 11.46% (-0.01)
Under 8 38.76% (+0.29)
Over 9 38.8% (-0.25)
Equal 9 10.98% (-0.04)
Under 9 50.21% (+0.28)
Over 10.5 29.09% (-0.18)
Under 10.5 70.91% (+0.18)

Valencia Goals

Over 1.5 38.42% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 61.58% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 15.51% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 84.49% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 4.97% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.03% (-0.02)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 65.75% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 34.25% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 31.37% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 68.63% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 10.61% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 89.39% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 3.23% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 96.77% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Valencia 40.07%
Draw 29.57%
Athletic Bilbao 30.36%
Valencia
1-0 @ 10.46% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.82% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.78% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.66% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.5% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.61%
Total : 40.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.76%
0-0 @ 8.74% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.36% (+0.02)
Total : 29.57%
Athletic Bilbao
0-1 @ 8.3% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 7.6% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.35% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.48% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.02%
2-3 @ 1.74% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.87% (+0.05)
Total : 30.36%

Head to Head

La Liga
Sep 20, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 37
May 18, 2025 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Jose Gaya 42' yellowcard
  • Luis Rioja 66' yellowcard
  • Rafa Mir 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adama Boiro Boiro 15'
  • goal Alex Berenguer 72'
La Liga Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2024 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT San Mames Barria
  • Benat Prados 45' goal
  • Benat Prados 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rafa Mir 23'
  • yellowcard Cristhian Mosquera 26'
  • yellowcard Dimitri Foulquier 90'+3'
La Liga Gameweek 21
Jan 20, 2024 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Hugo Duro 61' goal
  • yellowcard Nico Williams 56'
  • yellowcard Daniel Vivian 90'
  • yellowcard Adu Ares 90'+2'
La Liga Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2023 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT San Mames Barria
  • Aitor Paredes 12' yellowcard
  • Oscar de Marcos 32' goal
  • Dani Garcia 55' yellowcard
  • Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta 87' yellowcard
  • Alex Berenguer 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Selim Amallah 57'
  • goal Fran Perez 62'
  • goal Hugo Duro 68'
La Liga Gameweek 21
Feb 11, 2023 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Samu Castillejo 17' goal
  • goal Nico Williams 30'
  • goal Oihan Sancet 72'