Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 28.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (8.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.