Champions League Gameweek 7
Jan 21, 2026 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Gianluca Scamacca 16' goal
  • Nikola Krstovic 65' yellowcard
  • Nikola Krstović 65' yellowcard
  • Nikola Krstovic 66' yellowcard
  • Ademola Lookman 66' yellowcard
  • Honest Ahanor 76' yellowcard
  • Lazar Samardzic 76' yellowcard
  • Lazar Samardžić 76' yellowcard
  • Kamal Deen Sulemana 82' yellowcard
  • Kamaldeen Sulemana 82' yellowcard
  • Nikola Krstovic 88' goal
  • Nikola Krstović 88' goal
  • yellowcard Oihan Sancet 46'
  • goal Gorka Guruzeta 58'
  • yellowcard Mikel Vesga 59'
  • yellowcard Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta 59'
  • yellowcard Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta 59'
  • yellowcard Mikel Vesga 60'
  • yellowcard Nico Serrano 68'
  • goal Nico Serrano 70'
  • goal Robert Navarro 74'
  • yellowcard Jesus Areso 81'
  • yellowcard Jesús Areso 81'

Atalanta BC vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Dec 9, 2025 8.00pm
Atalanta 2 - 1 Chelsea

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Dec 10, 2025 8.00pm
Athletic Bilbao 0 - 0 PSG

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 49.11%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 25.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (6.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result

Atalanta BC 49.11%
Draw 25.35% (+0.02)
Athletic Bilbao 25.57% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.17% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 75% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 25% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 50.16% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 49.84% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 25.83%
Under 3.5 74.17%
Over 4.5 15.07% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 84.93% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Atalanta BC 32.56% (-0.10)
Draw 43.38% (+0.04)
Athletic Bilbao 24.06% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Atalanta BC 55.74% (+0.04)
No Goal 7.34% (+0.02)
Athletic Bilbao 36.92% (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 48.16% (-0.20)
Equal 8 11.08% (+0.01)
Under 8 40.76% (+0.18)
Over 9 37.65% (-0.18)
Equal 9 10.51% (-0.01)
Under 9 51.84% (+0.20)
Over 10.5 28.42% (-0.16)
Under 10.5 71.58% (+0.16)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 1.5 45.77% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 54.23% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 21.29% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 78.71% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.37%
Under 3.5 91.63%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 59.35% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 40.65% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 26.56% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 73.44% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 8.8% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 91.2% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 2.08%
Under 3.5 97.92%

Score analysis

Atalanta BC 49.11%
Draw 25.34%
Athletic Bilbao 25.58%
Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 10.76% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.59% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.75% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.06%
3-2 @ 2.13%
Other @ 8.24%
Total : 49.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 7.34% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.34%
Athletic Bilbao
0-1 @ 6.93%
1-2 @ 6.93% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.03% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.07% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.03% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.64% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 25.58%