Champions League Gameweek 7
Jan 21, 2026 8.00pm
Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta BC vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Dec 9, 2025 8.00pm
Atalanta 2 - 1 Chelsea

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Dec 10, 2025 8.00pm
Athletic Bilbao 0 - 0 PSG

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 51.01%. A draw has a probability of 24.66% and a win for Athletic Bilbao has a probability of 24.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atalanta BC win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.1%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.2%) , while for a Athletic Bilbao win it is 0-1 (6.88%).

Result

Atalanta BC 51.01% (+0.11)
Draw 24.66%
Athletic Bilbao 24.32% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.46% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.9% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 25.1% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 50.13% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 49.83% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 25.67% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 74.33% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 14.89% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 85.11% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Atalanta BC 36.09% (+0.02)
Draw 42.41% (-0.07)
Athletic Bilbao 21.5% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Atalanta BC 54.7% (-0.10)
No Goal 7.29% (+0.04)
Athletic Bilbao 38.01% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 50.7% (+0.08)
Equal 8 11.35%
Under 8 37.95% (-0.08)
Over 9 39.74% (+0.08)
Equal 9 10.96% (+0.02)
Under 9 49.3% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 29.97% (+0.06)
Under 10.5 70.03% (-0.05)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 1.5 46.84% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 53.16% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 21.85%
Under 2.5 78.15%
Over 3.5 8.32% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 91.68% (+0.04)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 58.63% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 41.37% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 25.03% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 74.97% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 8.07% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 91.93% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 1.85% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 98.15% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Atalanta BC 51.01%
Draw 24.67%
Athletic Bilbao 24.33%
Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 10.94% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 10.1% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.95% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 5.93% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.42% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.4%
Other @ 8.27% (-0.02)
Total : 51.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 7.29% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.05% (-0.01)
Total : 24.67%
Athletic Bilbao
0-1 @ 6.88%
1-2 @ 6.6% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.61% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.59% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.8% (-0.04)
Total : 24.33%